TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Adamus vs Patryk Mecik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611117811611––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:08 and never touched: 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
611117811611––
H2H Kacper Adamus 20–17 Patryk Mecik Patryk Mecik has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:0860.2%Our read64.9%to break even at 1.54
short by 4.7pp64.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.54 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1355 vs Mecik 1262
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 0% vs Mecik 20%
Mecik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 30% vs Mecik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -6 · Mecik -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Adamus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mecik form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.54 / Mecik 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Adamus)-4.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13233292
Adamus1.54
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 02)
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 358 of 586
Up 2–0, closes it97% 198 of 205
Up 1–0, closes it79% 290 of 369
Mecik2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 26) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 104 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back20% 32 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayMecik5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus62.5%5 of 8
AwayMecikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Mecik2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus3Mecik7n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S3Adamus7Mecik3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S4Adamus6Mecik2n = 8Adamus took 6 of 8
S5Adamus1Mecik5n = 6Mecik took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusMecikA − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.542.6+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime921 / 1695 vs 326 / 81854.3%39.9%921 / 1695 vs 326 / 818Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.54/Mecik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 06:00K. Adamus361111143P. Mecik2879120
LSep 12 · 04:50K. Adamus4311881152P. Mecik50911118113
WAug 2 · 06:25K. Adamus48117118113P. Mecik4781191182
LJul 30 · 19:10K. Adamus46111141192P. Mecik53139119113
WJul 18 · 06:25K. Adamus43111011113P. Mecik34512981
LJun 4 · 15:10K. Adamus45108111152P. Mecik48121177113
LMay 14 · 19:35K. Adamus4513771172P. Mecik531111119113
WDec 31 · 15:20K. Adamus361114113P. Mecik2571260
LDec 31 · 07:20K. Adamus48117111092P. Mecik47411912113
WDec 3 · 14:55K. Adamus4512911133P. Mecik4110119111
K. Adamus10
LOct 2 · 02:00G. Jurowicz2.47511411133K. Adamus1.49119119112LOct 2 · 01:10M. Guzik1.8711157113K. Adamus1.836131151LOct 2 · 00:25K. Adamus1.51125791O. Sokolowski2.40101111113LOct 1 · 22:50K. Adamus1.90971271M. Lebek1.80111110113LOct 1 · 22:00M. Tkocz1.5111711133K. Adamus2.405117111LOct 1 · 20:45K. Adamus1.70116251M. Tkocz2.0081111113WOct 1 · 19:10K. Adamus1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.107870LOct 1 · 18:00K. Adamus1.60106120W. Pytlas2.101211143WOct 1 · 16:25K. Adamus1.73111188113M. Koczyba2.0034111162WOct 1 · 15:10K. Adamus1.711111133K. Juszczyk2.0096110
P. Mecik10
LSep 26 · 08:20P. Mecik1.83911541T. Lojtek1.8311311113LSep 26 · 06:45M. Adamus1.90712411113P. Mecik1.80111011962LSep 26 · 06:00K. Adamus1.411111143P. Mecik2.7079120WSep 26 · 05:10P. Mecik1.60128119113R. Adach2.15101181172LSep 26 · 04:00P. Mecik2.159960R. Idaczyk1.621111113WSep 20 · 17:05P. Mecik1.601111113R. Adach2.203790LSep 20 · 15:30P. Mecik2.901161051O. Jadach1.3551112113WSep 20 · 14:20P. Mecik1.9891111113R. Wojcik1.60119891LSep 20 · 12:45P. Mecik2.558860M. Oracz1.461111113WSep 20 · 11:30P. Mecik3.251111113K. Slawinski1.309960
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