TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Adamus vs Krzysztof Juszczyk 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191161311––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:00 and never touched: 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1191161311––––
H2H Kacper Adamus 12–15 Krzysztof Juszczyk Kacper Adamus has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0054.7%Our read58.5%to break even at 1.71
short by 3.8pp58.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.71 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Juszczyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1413 vs Juszczyk 1359
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Juszczyk 20%
Adamus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Juszczyk 30%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +2 · Juszczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.71 / Juszczyk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Adamus)-3.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13222689
Adamus1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 30)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 355 of 579
Up 2–0, closes it97% 195 of 202
Up 1–0, closes it79% 287 of 363
Juszczyk2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 93 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back28% 32 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwayJuszczyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus71.4%5 of 7
AwayJuszczyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Juszczyk3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus6Juszczyk4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Adamus8Juszczyk2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Adamus4Juszczyk2n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
S5Adamus0Juszczyk3n = 3Juszczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusJuszczykA − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.9+2.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime919 / 1687 vs 654 / 120854.5%54.1%919 / 1687 vs 654 / 1208Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.71/Juszczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 22:50K. Adamus365712121K. Juszczyk46111110143
WAug 27 · 15:10K. Adamus47141111113K. Juszczyk40168791
LAug 25 · 12:20K. Adamus4312129372K. Juszczyk5310101111113
WAug 20 · 15:10K. Adamus4311813113K. Juszczyk398111191
LAug 8 · 06:00K. Adamus4412791152K. Juszczyk521011119113
WAug 6 · 19:35K. Adamus341112113K. Juszczyk2471070
WJul 30 · 15:10K. Adamus331111113K. Juszczyk237880
LJul 9 · 19:10K. Adamus4174111182K. Juszczyk43111164113
WJul 4 · 04:50K. Adamus331111113K. Juszczyk196760
WJul 2 · 18:00K. Adamus331111113K. Juszczyk205870
K. Adamus10
WSep 30 · 13:55K. Adamus1.131111113I. Szymanski5.505390WSep 30 · 12:40K. Adamus1.221411113K. Kowalski4.0012690LSep 30 · 11:25K. Adamus2.0081171182P. Brozek1.73119119113WSep 30 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83919111172K. Adamus1.83112189113WSep 30 · 09:25K. Adamus2.10119118163O. Jadach1.67811511142LSep 30 · 07:45K. Adamus1.837880P. Przewlocki1.831111113WSep 30 · 06:30K. Adamus1.221110811113K. Kowalski4.0081211522LSep 30 · 05:15K. Adamus2.20891171P. Brozek1.6111117113WSep 30 · 04:10I. Szymanski6.001051141K. Adamus1.1112119113WSep 30 · 03:25K. Adamus1.8391111113O. Jadach1.83117991
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 30 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.5011118113K. Juszczyk1.47871181LSep 30 · 19:35W. Pytlas1.86117116113K. Juszczyk1.8081151132WSep 30 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.9112121171K. Juszczyk1.7814141113LSep 30 · 16:50S. Krupa1.771111123K. Juszczyk1.9348100LSep 30 · 15:10P. Kaczynski1.80111011113K. Juszczyk1.85512881WSep 27 · 08:45K. Juszczyk1.6591112113O. Sokolowski2.101161081LSep 27 · 07:10K. Juszczyk1.52149111142R. Idaczyk2.30161185113WSep 27 · 06:00K. Juszczyk1.8511911113W. Pytlas1.80711491LSep 27 · 04:25K. Juszczyk1.8511117872M. Adamus1.85981111113LSep 27 · 03:10K. Juszczyk2.40211741P. Zemla1.5111311113
Upcoming Matches
K. Adamus
K. Juszczyk
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.