TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Przewlocki vs Kacper Adamus 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111921118119711
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Kacper Adamus below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 19-21
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 117 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Kacper Adamus at 54.0%
117 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 14–14 Kacper Adamus Dead even across their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 8–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Przewlocki beat Adamus 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:0754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-14 in 28
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1373 vs Adamus 1401
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 70% vs Adamus 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.833 / Adamus 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adamus)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13216104
Przewlocki1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Adamus1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki8wins
AwayAdamus2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki85.7%6 of 7
AwayAdamus33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki7Adamus3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S2Przewlocki6Adamus4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S3Przewlocki7Adamus3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki3Adamus2n = 5Przewlocki took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiAdamusP − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.034.4+3.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime525 / 1101 vs 926 / 169747.7%54.6%525 / 1101 vs 926 / 1697Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusPrzewlocki 1.83/Adamus 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 07:45P. Przewlocki331111113K. Adamus237880
WSep 16 · 11:50P. Przewlocki3711411113K. Adamus32911661
LSep 16 · 03:50P. Przewlocki228680K. Adamus331111113
WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki491151111113K. Adamus5191113992
WSep 2 · 06:05P. Przewlocki331111113K. Adamus259970
WJul 29 · 02:10P. Przewlocki331111113K. Adamus194870
WJul 28 · 20:05P. Przewlocki331111113K. Adamus219660
LJun 30 · 12:20P. Przewlocki38147981K. Adamus45121111113
WJun 30 · 08:20P. Przewlocki631115118183K. Adamus601313711162
WMay 28 · 22:00P. Przewlocki3961111113K. Adamus35117981
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 30 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.63791191P. Brozek1.4411114113WSep 30 · 07:45K. Adamus1.837880P. Przewlocki1.831111113WSep 30 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.40121111692P. Przewlocki1.301013411113LSep 30 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.20101490O. Jadach1.611216113WSep 30 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.631111113P. Brozek1.448980LSep 30 · 03:50K. Kowalski5.0011116113P. Przewlocki1.14751171WSep 29 · 14:40P. Przewlocki1.8351111113K. Schaniel1.83115581WSep 29 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33101111123I. Szymanski3.251288101WSep 29 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1711711113K. Kowalski4.50811771WSep 29 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.9111122133R. Gajda1.8061011111
K. Adamus10
WSep 30 · 09:25K. Adamus2.10119118163O. Jadach1.67811511142LSep 30 · 07:45K. Adamus1.837880P. Przewlocki1.831111113WSep 30 · 06:30K. Adamus1.221110811113K. Kowalski4.0081211522LSep 30 · 05:15K. Adamus2.20891171P. Brozek1.6111117113WSep 30 · 04:10I. Szymanski6.001051141K. Adamus1.1112119113WSep 30 · 03:25K. Adamus1.8391111113O. Jadach1.83117991WSep 29 · 05:05M. Adamus2.119117101K. Adamus1.6611511123WSep 29 · 03:55K. Adamus1.4411916133O. Sokolowski2.6091114111WSep 29 · 02:10J. Pruszkowski1.526750K. Adamus2.301111113LSep 29 · 01:10D. Dytko2.051111810113K. Adamus1.7079111292
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