TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117119––––
Rafal Adach
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:22 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timePatryk Mecik to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
113117119––––
H2H Patryk Mecik 1–0 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Mecik beat Adach 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Mecik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1290 vs Adach 1120
Mecik
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 60% vs Adach 0%
Mecik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 40% vs Adach 10%
Mecik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -1 · Adach -5
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mecik) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 1.60 / Adach 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Mecik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13163073
Mecik1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 32 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Adach2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 81 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMecik1wins
AwayAdach0wins
Mecik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMecikAdachM − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.025.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 831 vs 235 / 59640%39.4%332 / 831 vs 235 / 596Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MecikMecik 1.60/Adach 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Mecik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik4011711113R. Adach25611621
P. Mecik10
LSep 20 · 15:30P. Mecik2.901161051O. Jadach1.3551112113WSep 20 · 14:20P. Mecik1.9891111113R. Wojcik1.60119891LSep 20 · 12:45P. Mecik2.558860M. Oracz1.461111113WSep 20 · 11:30P. Mecik3.251111113K. Slawinski1.309960WSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113LSep 20 · 09:30O. Jadach1.2711126123P. Mecik2.9511011101WSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik1.6811711113R. Adach2.05611621LSep 20 · 07:10P. Mecik3.256750K. Slawinski1.301111113LSep 20 · 06:20R. Wojcik1.8011914113P. Mecik1.907111291LSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113
R. Adach10
LSep 20 · 15:55R. Adach4.05911671K. Slawinski1.1311611113LSep 20 · 14:45O. Jadach1.201111113R. Adach3.904880LSep 20 · 13:30R. Wojcik1.408121211113R. Adach2.39111014712LSep 20 · 11:55M. Oracz1.50411115113R. Adach2.3511361172LSep 20 · 11:05O. Jadach1.221211113R. Adach4.0010370WSep 20 · 09:55R. Adach4.0581111133K. Slawinski1.131189111LSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik1.6811711113R. Adach2.05611621LSep 20 · 07:30R. Wojcik1.501111113R. Adach2.407540LSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz1.211111113R. Adach3.307470LSep 19 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.601111113R. Adach2.157960
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.