TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Patryk Mecik vs Rafal Adach 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210811118911117
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:25 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timePatryk Mecik to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1210811118911117
H2H Patryk Mecik 2–0 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Mecik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1289 vs Adach 1130
Mecik
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 40% vs Adach 20%
Mecik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 50% vs Adach 20%
Mecik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -1 · Adach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Mecik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 1.60 / Adach 2.15
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Mecik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13198628
Mecik1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 34 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Adach2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 78 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMecik2wins
AwayAdach0wins
Mecik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMecikAdachM − ABasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.522.0+14.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 823 vs 232 / 59139.9%39.3%328 / 823 vs 232 / 591Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MecikMecik 1.60/Adach 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Mecik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 20 · 17:05P. Mecik331111113R. Adach193790
WSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik4011711113R. Adach25611621
P. Mecik10
LSep 26 · 06:00K. Adamus1.411111143P. Mecik2.7079120LSep 26 · 04:00P. Mecik2.159960R. Idaczyk1.621111113WSep 20 · 17:05P. Mecik1.601111113R. Adach2.203790LSep 20 · 15:30P. Mecik2.901161051O. Jadach1.3551112113WSep 20 · 14:20P. Mecik1.9891111113R. Wojcik1.60119891LSep 20 · 12:45P. Mecik2.558860M. Oracz1.461111113WSep 20 · 11:30P. Mecik3.251111113K. Slawinski1.309960WSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113LSep 20 · 09:30O. Jadach1.2711126123P. Mecik2.9511011101WSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik1.6811711113R. Adach2.05611621
R. Adach10
WSep 26 · 03:35M. Adamus2.39113131182R. Adach1.52411159113LSep 20 · 17:05P. Mecik1.601111113R. Adach2.203790LSep 20 · 15:55R. Adach4.05911671K. Slawinski1.1311611113LSep 20 · 14:45O. Jadach1.201111113R. Adach3.904880LSep 20 · 13:30R. Wojcik1.408121211113R. Adach2.39111014712LSep 20 · 11:55M. Oracz1.50411115113R. Adach2.3511361172LSep 20 · 11:05O. Jadach1.221211113R. Adach4.0010370WSep 20 · 09:55R. Adach4.0581111133K. Slawinski1.131189111LSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik1.6811711113R. Adach2.05611621LSep 20 · 07:30R. Wojcik1.501111113R. Adach2.407540
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