TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Mateusz Burkacki vs Jakub Chojnacki 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311511911114117
Jakub Chojnacki
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:57 and never touched: 70.1% is still 70.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Burkacki to win
70.1%
70.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
1311511911114117
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:5770.1%Our read75.2%to break even at 1.33
short by 5.1pp75.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.33 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Burkacki
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1526 vs Chojnacki 1470
Burkacki
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 20% vs Chojnacki 40%
Chojnacki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 50% vs Chojnacki 20%
Burkacki
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki +1 · Chojnacki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Strong (leans Burkacki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 1.33 / Chojnacki 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Burkacki)-5.1pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13230143
Burkacki1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 15 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Chojnacki3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 3 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiChojnackiBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 243 vs 7 / 1840.3%38.9%98 / 243 vs 7 / 18Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BurkackiBurkacki 1.33/Chojnacki 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Burkacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Burkacki won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Burkacki10
WOct 1 · 12:30S. Radlo—9711121M. Burkacki—11117143LOct 1 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.25881171S. Radlo1.5711118113LOct 1 · 09:30M. Galus1.55131111113M. Burkacki2.30156491LOct 1 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.159570D. Stapor1.621111113LOct 1 · 07:30P. Gola1.63111110113M. Burkacki2.15751271WOct 1 · 07:00M. Burkacki1.47111159113J. Masternak2.5079111162LSep 16 · 13:40M. Burkacki2.87781281M. Ovcharenko1.37111110113WSep 16 · 12:00D. Stapor1.546811121M. Burkacki2.2511114143WSep 16 · 10:30M. Burkacki2.3511126113S. Radlo1.538101161WSep 16 · 08:30P. Gola1.5711911912M. Burkacki2.20611511113
J. Chojnacki10
LOct 2 · 06:00M. Galus2.151114512153J. Chojnacki1.637121114132LSep 30 · 12:30J. Chojnacki1.40129116122J. Masternak2.751011811143WSep 30 · 12:00S. Radlo2.52711661J. Chojnacki1.4711611113WSep 30 · 10:30J. Chojnacki2.751111113J. Masternak1.408990LSep 30 · 08:30M. Galus1.201111113J. Chojnacki3.605440LSep 30 · 06:30B. Molka1.231211113J. Chojnacki3.9010860LSep 30 · 05:30S. Wloszek1.271111113J. Chojnacki3.508860LSep 29 · 12:30J. Chojnacki—471191S. Wloszek—11118113LSep 29 · 11:00S. Radlo1.311311811123J. Chojnacki3.201191113102LSep 29 · 10:00J. Chojnacki4.60461291M. Lysakowski1.17111110113
Upcoming Matches
M. Burkacki
J. Chojnacki
Nothing scheduled
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