TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Radlo vs Jakub Chojnacki 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116611611––
Jakub Chojnacki
Away
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched: 74.9% is still 74.9%
Graded at full timeSzymon Radlo to win
74.9%
74.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
711116611611––
H2H Szymon Radlo 2–0 Jakub Chojnacki Jakub Chojnacki has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5774.9%Our read39.7%to break even at 2.52
clears by 35.2pp39.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.52 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Chojnacki
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1562 vs Chojnacki 1461
Radlo
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 60% vs Chojnacki 20%
Radlo
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 50% vs Chojnacki 20%
Radlo
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo +3 · Chojnacki +1
Radlo
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Radlo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chojnacki form (20%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.52 / Chojnacki 1.47
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Radlo)+35.2pp
TT Cup · #13221780
Radlo2.52
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 169 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 96
Chojnacki1.47
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRadlo2wins
AwayChojnacki0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderRadlo leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRadloChojnackiR − CBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match50.046.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloChojnackiBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 798 vs 6 / 1649.5%37.5%395 / 798 vs 6 / 16Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.734.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RadloRadlo 2.52/Chojnacki 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.9%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chojnacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 29 · 11:00S. Radlo551311811123J. Chojnacki541191113102
WSep 28 · 07:00S. Radlo45111112113J. Chojnacki381361091
S. Radlo10
WSep 30 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.059980S. Radlo1.661111113WSep 30 · 08:00B. Molka1.651071171S. Radlo2.1012116113WSep 30 · 07:00M. Galus1.626119101S. Radlo2.0211811123LSep 30 · 06:00S. Radlo1.721118111692J. Masternak2.0113161314113LSep 29 · 13:00D. Stapor1.911315115113S. Radlo1.80151351192WSep 29 · 11:00S. Radlo1.311311811123J. Chojnacki3.201191113102WSep 29 · 09:30S. Radlo2.23161211113D. Stapor1.591810791LSep 29 · 08:00S. Radlo2.556118111M. Lysakowski1.4611911133LSep 29 · 06:30S. Radlo1.9811516101S. Wloszek1.73131114123LSep 29 · 05:00S. Radlo1.93811741P. Gola1.7911411113
J. Chojnacki10
WSep 30 · 10:30J. Chojnacki2.751111113J. Masternak1.408990LSep 30 · 08:30M. Galus1.201111113J. Chojnacki3.605440LSep 30 · 06:30B. Molka1.231211113J. Chojnacki3.9010860LSep 30 · 05:30S. Wloszek1.271111113J. Chojnacki3.508860LSep 29 · 12:30J. Chojnacki—471191S. Wloszek—11118113LSep 29 · 11:00S. Radlo1.311311811123J. Chojnacki3.201191113102LSep 29 · 10:00J. Chojnacki4.60461291M. Lysakowski1.17111110113LSep 29 · 09:00J. Chojnacki3.207760P. Gola1.311111113LSep 29 · 07:30J. Chojnacki3.7034131172D. Stapor1.251111115113WSep 29 · 05:30J. Chojnacki—11612113S. Wloszek—7111071
Upcoming Matches
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J. Chojnacki
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