TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tadeas Bertho vs Vojtech Toman 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119118––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Vojtech Toman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8
59 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 8–4 Vojtech Toman Vojtech Toman has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Bertho beat Toman 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toman form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.80 / Toman 1.909
Setka Cup · #13229971
Bertho1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 79 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 62 of 76
Toman1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho7wins
AwayToman3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho75%3 of 4
AwayToman33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho4Toman6n = 10Toman took 6 of 10
S2Bertho5Toman5n = 10split evenly
S3Bertho6Toman4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S4Bertho2Toman4n = 6Toman took 4 of 6
S5Bertho5Toman0n = 5Bertho took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoTomanB − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.3+0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoTomanBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 700 vs 48 / 9653.7%50%376 / 700 vs 48 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.80/Toman 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 1 · 18:30T. Bertho43111146113V. Toman4183111182
LSep 7 · 20:44T. Bertho2611870V. Toman351311113
WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho44115123133V. Toman496111011112
LDec 3 · 19:15T. Bertho186480V. Toman331111113
WNov 23 · 20:00T. Bertho45381111123V. Toman45111149102
WNov 21 · 19:30T. Bertho43313115113V. Toman49111171192
WOct 2 · 20:23T. Bertho331111113V. Toman206950
WMay 13 · 21:00T. Bertho43101111113V. Toman30126661
WMay 13 · 19:00T. Bertho521011119113V. Toman4312831192
T. Bertho10
WOct 1 · 20:00T. Bertho1.8311117113O. Karpisek1.83721181WOct 1 · 18:30V. Toman1.8083111182T. Bertho1.91111146113WOct 1 · 18:00S. Kalensky2.101181051T. Bertho1.6771112113LSep 29 · 20:58J. Juppa1.5781111113T. Bertho2.25112771WSep 29 · 20:00T. Bertho2.38111011113J. Juppa1.53512771WSep 29 · 18:30J. Gruber1.537840T. Bertho2.381111113WSep 29 · 18:00S. Kalensky2.10711111492T. Bertho1.67119916113WSep 28 · 20:43F. Kubos1.57116111172T. Bertho2.25411134113LSep 28 · 19:45T. Bertho2.107890F. Kubos1.671111113LSep 28 · 18:15J. Snr2.501311612113T. Bertho1.50158111092
V. Toman10
WOct 1 · 19:30V. Toman2.001111163S. Kalensky1.7339140LOct 1 · 18:30V. Toman1.8083111182T. Bertho1.91111146113LOct 1 · 17:30V. Toman2.751111111262O. Karpisek1.40913714113WSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870LSep 7 · 19:45V. Toman1.91118981J. Tichy1.8081111113LSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133WSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172
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