TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Michna vs Jakub Kwapis · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Live
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
No score yet
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
H2H Dawid Michna 4–4 Jakub Kwapis Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Kwapis beat Michna 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichna 1.333 / Kwapis 3.25
TT Elite Series · #13227324
Michna1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 69 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Kwapis3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMichna4wins
AwayKwapis4wins
5 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichnan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKwapis50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michna2Kwapis6n = 8Kwapis took 6 of 8
S2Michna5Kwapis3n = 8Michna took 5 of 8
S3Michna3Kwapis5n = 8Kwapis took 5 of 8
S4Michna6Kwapis1n = 7Michna took 6 of 7
S5Michna2Kwapis3n = 5Kwapis took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMichnaKwapisM − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match43.943.1+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichnaKwapisBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 921 vs 246 / 53154.2%46.3%499 / 921 vs 246 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 2 · 06:30D. Michna4511811782J. Kwapis47811611113
LApr 22 · 14:25D. Michna2431290J. Kwapis361114113
WOct 25 · 14:50D. Michna3961111113J. Kwapis36118891
WOct 25 · 09:35D. Michna53118711163J. Kwapis49711116142
LSep 18 · 10:45D. Michna48111271172J. Kwapis501310115113
WSep 3 · 14:00D. Michna4381113113J. Kwapis351161171
LJul 31 · 13:40D. Michna5091181392J. Kwapis531191111113
WJul 31 · 09:35D. Michna49811811113J. Kwapis3911511842
D. Michna10
WOct 2 · 14:10D. Michna1.8011811113M. Jadczyk1.91911951WOct 2 · 12:55D. Michna1.6711168123K. Kolodziej2.1091411101LOct 2 · 11:15D. Michna1.53115771J. Kuzmicz2.3851111113WOct 2 · 10:00D. Michna1.61111111143K. Wloczko2.201358121LOct 2 · 08:05D. Michna1.6110513131K. Wloczko2.20121111153LOct 2 · 06:30J. Kwapis2.63811611113D. Michna1.4411811782WOct 2 · 05:40J. Kuzmicz2.38111291072D. Michna1.537101112113WOct 2 · 04:55D. Michna1.3613613113G. Poliniewicz3.0011111191LOct 2 · 03:45D. Michna2.00137981M. Jadczyk1.73111111113LOct 1 · 14:35D. Michna1.8311991142K. Wloczko1.83511116113
J. Kwapis10
LOct 2 · 14:35J. Kwapis2.3870K. Wloczko1.5381LOct 2 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.30591511113J. Kwapis3.40111113862LOct 2 · 12:05K. Kolodziej1.531112113J. Kwapis2.3831070LOct 2 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.571111113J. Kwapis2.257590WOct 2 · 07:45J. Kwapis3.00128611113M. Jadczyk1.36101111652WOct 2 · 06:30J. Kwapis2.63811611113D. Michna1.4411811782WOct 2 · 05:15J. Kwapis1.9111711123K. Wloczko1.806117101WOct 2 · 04:10J. Kuzmicz1.538770J. Kwapis2.381111113LOct 2 · 03:25J. Kwapis2.10611591G. Poliniewicz1.6711911113LOct 1 · 14:35J. Kwapis1.85351221P. Jendrzejewski1.85111110113
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