TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Radovan Pisa vs Ladislav Dobias 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118911119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9
78 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 10–19 Ladislav Dobias Radovan Pisa has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Dobias beat Pisa 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobias form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 2.50 / Dobias 1.50
Setka Cup · #13224421
Pisa2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 81 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 55
Dobias1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 193 of 336
Up 2–0, closes it96% 69 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 139 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa4wins
AwayDobias6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDobias75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa2Dobias8n = 10Dobias took 8 of 10
S2Pisa8Dobias2n = 10Pisa took 8 of 10
S3Pisa3Dobias7n = 10Dobias took 7 of 10
S4Pisa4Dobias4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaDobiasP − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.10.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 786 vs 436 / 78948.2%55.3%379 / 786 vs 436 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.541.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasPisa 2.50/Dobias 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 17:45R. Pisa229760L. Dobias331111113
LAug 13 · 08:48R. Pisa361111681L. Dobias4213711113
WAug 13 · 06:45R. Pisa4291111113L. Dobias32119391
WAug 12 · 08:49R. Pisa401811113L. Dobias3116870
LAug 12 · 07:45R. Pisa4091110101L. Dobias4411912123
LAug 6 · 12:18R. Pisa34871181L. Dobias4111118113
WAug 6 · 11:15R. Pisa3911116113L. Dobias30381181
LJul 24 · 05:45R. Pisa45411131162L. Dobias52118157113
WJul 22 · 08:00R. Pisa473111111113L. Dobias3811513722
LJul 16 · 12:23R. Pisa36911881L. Dobias3811511113
R. Pisa10
WSep 30 · 19:45R. Pisa2.101111106113V. Burylov1.6797121192LSep 30 · 18:15V. Grubr2.10811119113R. Pisa1.6711881132LSep 30 · 17:45L. Dobias1.531111113R. Pisa2.389760WSep 30 · 08:18R. Pisa1.50101111113M. Vana2.50127161LSep 30 · 07:45R. Pisa1.731477101J. Rochowanski2.00121111123LSep 30 · 06:15M. Ullman1.83111184113R. Pisa1.8384111192WSep 30 · 05:45M. Vana2.5011128171R. Pisa1.5081411193WSep 27 · 20:14R. Pisa1.67111110113T. Liska2.10631241LSep 27 · 19:45L. Veigl1.611111113R. Pisa2.209330LSep 27 · 18:45T. Liska2.101111114163R. Pisa1.67813711142
L. Dobias10
LSep 30 · 19:15V. Grubr2.635111111113L. Dobias1.4411713982LSep 30 · 18:45L. Dobias1.80612361V. Burylov1.91111011113WSep 30 · 17:45L. Dobias1.531111113R. Pisa2.389760LSep 30 · 12:45L. Dobias1.7371360V. Burylov2.001115113WSep 30 · 11:45L. Dobias1.5791111113M. Stibor2.25113571WSep 30 · 10:15L. Veigl2.0058150L. Dobias1.731111173LSep 30 · 09:45V. Burylov1.911111113L. Dobias1.807570WSep 29 · 12:38L. Dobias1.731411143L. Rulc2.00129120LSep 29 · 12:00L. Dobias1.576990T. Liska2.251111113LSep 29 · 10:30L. Rulc2.10118115113L. Dobias1.6781171162
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