TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Burylov vs Ladislav Dobias 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115117––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Dobias to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Ladislav Dobias at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 24–27 Ladislav Dobias Volodymyr Burylov has won 24 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4454.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dobias
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
24-27 in 51
Dobias
Wrong
gap of 3 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1664 vs Dobias 1714
Dobias
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 40% vs Dobias 60%
Dobias
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 30% vs Dobias 50%
Dobias
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov -3 · Dobias +1
Burylov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Dobias) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.909 / Dobias 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dobias)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13219213
Burylov1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 23) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 46 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back34% 15 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back23% 5 of 22
Dobias1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 193 of 336
Up 2–0, closes it96% 69 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 139 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov5wins
AwayDobias5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov80%4 of 5
AwayDobias80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov5Dobias5n = 10split evenly
S2Burylov4Dobias6n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S3Burylov7Dobias3n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S4Burylov3Dobias5n = 8Dobias took 5 of 8
S5Burylov2Dobias2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovDobiasB − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.940.6+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 431 vs 433 / 78249.4%55.4%213 / 431 vs 433 / 782Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.641.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasBurylov 1.91/Dobias 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:15V. Burylov46811111242L. Dobias52117914113
LSep 22 · 08:18V. Burylov31651191L. Dobias3911116113
WSep 22 · 05:45V. Burylov4920117113L. Dobias441881171
WSep 18 · 19:45V. Burylov3911611113L. Dobias29511671
WSep 18 · 12:38V. Burylov541571011113L. Dobias47131112652
LSep 18 · 10:00V. Burylov30810120L. Dobias371112143
LAug 28 · 07:45V. Burylov47115111192L. Dobias53911913113
LAug 21 · 10:45V. Burylov3951311101L. Dobias4211154123
WJul 31 · 08:13V. Burylov341111123L. Dobias2165100
WJul 31 · 05:45V. Burylov50911118113L. Dobias4211761172
V. Burylov10
LSep 23 · 08:21M. Makara3.25111111113V. Burylov1.33138781LSep 23 · 07:15V. Burylov1.8311380M. Zelinka1.831311113LSep 23 · 06:15V. Burylov1.91811111242L. Dobias1.80117914113WSep 23 · 05:15V. Burylov1.831111113M. Makara1.839810WSep 22 · 20:53V. Burylov1.5771111113A. Radkovsky2.25118471WSep 22 · 19:45A. Radkovsky2.1011511772V. Burylov1.67511811113LSep 22 · 18:45J. Chalupa1.801111113V. Burylov1.918380LSep 22 · 17:15V. Grubr2.0071111113V. Burylov1.73117581LSep 22 · 08:18L. Dobias1.7311116113V. Burylov2.00651191LSep 22 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731112113V. Burylov2.0071070
L. Dobias10
WSep 30 · 10:15L. Veigl2.0058150L. Dobias1.731111173WSep 29 · 12:38L. Dobias1.731411143L. Rulc2.00129120LSep 29 · 12:00L. Dobias1.576990T. Liska2.251111113LSep 29 · 10:30L. Rulc2.10118115113L. Dobias1.6781171162WSep 29 · 10:00M. Makara2.2081111692L. Dobias1.61119911113WSep 26 · 20:49L. Dobias1.61115119113M. Makara2.2081191172LSep 26 · 19:45M. Makara2.101011911113L. Dobias1.6712811682WSep 26 · 18:45J. Chalupa1.8311117992L. Dobias1.83881111113WSep 23 · 06:15V. Burylov1.91811111242L. Dobias1.80117914113WSep 22 · 08:18L. Dobias1.7311116113V. Burylov2.00651191
Upcoming Matches
V. Burylov
L. Dobias
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.