TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Dolezal vs Jan Briska 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711111312101113––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:23 and never touched: 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Vaclav Dolezal @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Jan Briska below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 88 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 61.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 14–14 Jan Briska Dead even across their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:2361.3%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 0.6pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-14 in 28
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1432 vs Briska 1337
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 100% vs Briska 40%
Dolezal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 80% vs Briska 20%
Dolezal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +6 · Briska -2
Dolezal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Dolezal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.615 / Briska 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Dolezal)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13216882
Dolezal1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 134 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 121
Briska2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal6wins
AwayBriska4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal66.7%4 of 6
AwayBriska50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal6Briska4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S2Dolezal5Briska5n = 10split evenly
S3Dolezal6Briska4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S4Dolezal2Briska6n = 8Briska took 6 of 8
S5Dolezal4Briska2n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalBriskaD − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match46.042.6+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalBriskaBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 782 vs 168 / 33850.5%49.7%395 / 782 vs 168 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.61/Briska 2.20
Miss
What we said
61.3%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vaclav Dolezal @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
1–3
Briska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 07:30V. Dolezal3511211113J. Briska27311851
WMar 21 · 04:30V. Dolezal501111107113J. Briska4073121172
LMar 21 · 01:00V. Dolezal52119111292J. Briska52911714113
LMar 8 · 13:30V. Dolezal45111113462J. Briska531371111113
LMar 8 · 08:00V. Dolezal31911110J. Briska371113133
WFeb 8 · 10:26V. Dolezal341112113J. Briska2351080
WFeb 8 · 07:30V. Dolezal6415171110113J. Briska52171521262
LJan 21 · 13:30V. Dolezal4111108121J. Briska4471211143
WJan 20 · 13:00V. Dolezal558111114113J. Briska50111371272
WJan 11 · 10:00V. Dolezal531111128113J. Briska4869141182
V. Dolezal10
WSep 30 · 23:00V. Dolezal1.571111113M. Stefek2.257670WSep 30 · 22:00M. Novak1.80581181V. Dolezal1.9111115113WSep 30 · 21:30V. Dolezal1.2511119113J. Framberk3.30781161WSep 30 · 20:30V. Hruska Sr2.20115121182V. Dolezal1.61511149113WSep 30 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.831111113J. Pelikan1.839620WSep 30 · 18:28J. Framberk3.251251151V. Dolezal1.33101113113LSep 28 · 09:28J. Strnad1.50118914113V. Dolezal2.50711111282WSep 28 · 08:00V. Dolezal1.44811118113L. Sulava2.6311851182WSep 28 · 07:30J. Briska1.83311851V. Dolezal1.8311211113LSep 28 · 06:00V. Dolezal2.38531141J. Strnad1.5311116113
J. Briska10
WOct 1 · 01:30J. Briska1.501111113M. Stefek2.505730LSep 30 · 23:30M. Novak1.808131011113J. Briska1.91111112692LSep 30 · 22:30J. Briska1.808380J. Framberk1.911111113WSep 29 · 03:00V. Hruska Sr2.25111188102J. Briska1.57961111123LSep 29 · 02:30J. Briska1.33111110652T. Regner3.25561211113WSep 29 · 01:30J. Strnad2.10671181J. Briska1.6711119113LSep 29 · 00:00J. Briska1.8311711792M. Ulrych1.83911911113LSep 28 · 23:00V. Hruska Sr2.1011118113J. Briska1.67761191LSep 28 · 09:00L. Sulava2.25115119113J. Briska1.5761111192LSep 28 · 07:30J. Briska1.83311851V. Dolezal1.8311211113
Upcoming Matches
V. Dolezal
J. Briska
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