Jan Briska vs Jan Framberk 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Sep 30Finished

Jan Briska

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

811311811––––

Jan Framberk

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jan Briska to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Briska above · Jan Framberk below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 3-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 52 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Jan Briska at 54.0%

52 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:13

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Briska

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Briska 1360 vs Framberk 1357

Briska

Wrong

both rated, 3 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Briska 40% vs Framberk 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Briska 40% vs Framberk 60%

Framberk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Briska +1 · Framberk +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Briska) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Framberk form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBriska 1.80 / Framberk 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Briska)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13216916

Briska1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 29)

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite50% won 9 of 18

Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6

Framberk1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog39% won 28 of 71

Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44

Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBriskaFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 336 vs 89 / 16650%53.6%168 / 336 vs 89 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Briska

Briska 1.80/Framberk 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Briska · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Framberk won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Briska10