TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Petr Zivny vs David Hons 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Petr Zivny
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012711116911––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingPetr Zivny above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zivny 5–4 David Hons David Hons has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 4h before this match
Hons beat Zivny 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZivny 1.83 / Hons 1.83
TT Cup · #13208612
Zivny1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hons1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZivny5wins
AwayHons4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderZivny leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZivny75%3 of 4
AwayHons60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zivny4Hons5n = 9Hons took 5 of 9
S2Zivny5Hons4n = 9Zivny took 5 of 9
S3Zivny5Hons4n = 9Zivny took 5 of 9
S4Zivny4Hons2n = 6Zivny took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricZivnyHonsZ − HBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match37.937.8+0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZivnyHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 39 vs 271 / 53356.4%50.8%22 / 39 vs 271 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZivnyZivny 1.83/Hons 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 27 · 18:35P. Zivny4491112123D. Hons3611510101
LSep 27 · 17:35P. Zivny31711851D. Hons4011711113
LSep 27 · 14:35P. Zivny163940D. Hons331111113
LAug 2 · 17:04P. Zivny5916101111112D. Hons61181299133
LAug 2 · 14:05P. Zivny3611105101D. Hons4271211123
WJun 7 · 07:35P. Zivny3851111113D. Hons34119681
WMay 24 · 21:40P. Zivny361111143D. Hons2585120
WMay 24 · 19:05P. Zivny331111113D. Hons218760
WMar 22 · 19:35P. Zivny48117712113D. Hons48911111072
P. Zivny10
WSep 27 · 20:05S. Kafka1.918810P. Zivny1.801111113WSep 27 · 19:35M. Flesar2.639950P. Zivny1.441111113WSep 27 · 18:35P. Zivny1.8391112123D. Hons1.8311510101LSep 27 · 17:35D. Hons1.7311711113P. Zivny2.00711851WSep 27 · 16:05R. Fnukal2.106870P. Zivny1.671111113WSep 27 · 15:35T. Palan2.001311111142P. Zivny1.73159133113LSep 27 · 14:35P. Zivny1.673940D. Hons2.101111113LAug 2 · 17:04D. Hons2.10181299133P. Zivny1.6716101111112LAug 2 · 16:05P. Zivny2.255990J. Lovl1.571111113LAug 2 · 15:05P. Zivny1.6191111782R. Fnukal2.20116711113
D. Hons10
WSep 27 · 20:35D. Hons1.361111113M. Flesar3.009970WSep 27 · 19:05S. Kafka1.806670D. Hons1.911111113LSep 27 · 18:35P. Zivny1.8391112123D. Hons1.8311510101WSep 27 · 17:35D. Hons1.7311711113P. Zivny2.00711851LSep 27 · 16:35D. Hons2.10911551T. Palan1.6711911113WSep 27 · 15:05R. Fnukal1.611169101D. Hons2.2051111123WSep 27 · 14:35P. Zivny1.673940D. Hons2.101111113LSep 26 · 21:38K. Lahodny1.8013119113D. Hons1.911151161LSep 26 · 20:05D. Hons2.0011116352K. Lahodny1.73991111113WAug 2 · 17:04D. Hons2.10181299133P. Zivny1.6716101111112
Upcoming Matches
P. Zivny
Nothing scheduled
D. Hons
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