TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Lysek vs Jan Oleksik 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311911118119––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJakub Lysek above · Jan Oleksik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9
83 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Lysek 3–2 Jan Oleksik Jan Oleksik has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.73 / Oleksik 2.00
TT Cup · #13208408
Lysek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 16 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Oleksik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog69% won 11 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back71% 5 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLysek3wins
AwayOleksik2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderLysek leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysek50%2 of 4
AwayOleksikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysek4Oleksik1n = 5Lysek took 4 of 5
S2Lysek1Oleksik4n = 5Oleksik took 4 of 5
S3Lysek2Oleksik3n = 5Oleksik took 3 of 5
S4Lysek4Oleksik1n = 5Lysek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricLysekOleksikL − OBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match39.441.2−1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekOleksikBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 329 vs 42 / 8545.3%49.4%149 / 329 vs 42 / 85Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysekLysek 1.73/Oleksik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Lysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 27 · 19:10J. Lysek44121011113J. Oleksik341012481
LJun 7 · 19:10J. Lysek3911551262J. Oleksik518111110113
LMay 17 · 20:10J. Lysek27116641J. Oleksik3851111113
WDec 21 · 15:40J. Lysek4051212113J. Oleksik3811101071
WDec 14 · 15:10J. Lysek47116811113J. Oleksik4581111872
J. Lysek10
WSep 27 · 20:10M. Dolezal1.4071011101J. Lysek2.7511128123WSep 27 · 19:10J. Lysek2.00121011113J. Oleksik1.731012481LSep 27 · 17:40L. Krupnik Jr1.731111113J. Lysek2.005880WSep 25 · 17:10L. Krupnik Jr1.6189100J. Lysek2.201111123WSep 25 · 16:10P. Sturma1.8310149101J. Lysek1.83121211123WSep 25 · 15:10J. Lysek1.9111118113F. Mandrysz1.80461161LSep 25 · 13:40L. Krupnik Jr1.5711146113J. Lysek2.255121191LSep 24 · 16:45L. Zustina1.501111113J. Lysek2.505770LSep 24 · 16:15L. Zustina1.911111113J. Lysek1.806740WSep 24 · 15:15J. Lysek1.80116118113P. Sturma1.9171191182
J. Oleksik10
LSep 27 · 19:40L. Krupnik Jr1.8311117113J. Oleksik1.83991161LSep 27 · 19:10J. Lysek2.00121011113J. Oleksik1.731012481LSep 27 · 18:10J. Oleksik1.5333121122M. Dolezal2.381111109113LSep 13 · 21:23J. Oleksik1.859112101L. Krupnik Jr1.8511911123WSep 13 · 20:15J. Oleksik2.10851211113J. Matus1.67111110762WSep 13 · 18:45M. Dolezal1.835620J. Oleksik1.831111113WSep 13 · 18:15L. Krupnik Jr1.83111111592J. Oleksik1.83813911113LSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113WSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152
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