TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Polak vs Jakub Mejzlik 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115115––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Jakub Mejzlik @ 1.80 · Lost
How it is goingKarel Polak above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 54.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Karel Polak 6–5 Jakub Mejzlik Jakub Mejzlik has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mejzlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polak 1351 vs Mejzlik 1425
Mejzlik
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polak 0% vs Mejzlik 40%
Mejzlik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polak 40% vs Mejzlik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polak -6 · Mejzlik +2
Polak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Mejzlik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolak 1.91 / Mejzlik 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Mejzlik)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13208009
Polak1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog58% won 34 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back30% 7 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back24% 4 of 17
Mejzlik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolak6wins
AwayMejzlik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPolak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMejzlik50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polak2Mejzlik8n = 10Mejzlik took 8 of 10
S2Polak5Mejzlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Polak8Mejzlik2n = 10Polak took 8 of 10
S4Polak6Mejzlik4n = 10Polak took 6 of 10
S5Polak3Mejzlik2n = 5Polak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolakMejzlikP − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.840.7+1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolakMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 333 vs 141 / 28949.3%48.8%164 / 333 vs 141 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikPolak 1.91/Mejzlik 1.80
Miss
What we said
54.7%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jakub Mejzlik @ 1.80 · Lost
What happened
3–0
Polak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 09:08K. Polak32861171J. Mejzlik3911116113
LAug 3 · 06:30K. Polak491311111042J. Mejzlik50157512113
LJul 6 · 08:00K. Polak30841441J. Mejzlik45111112113
WApr 21 · 09:09K. Polak4371114113J. Mejzlik341131281
WApr 21 · 05:30K. Polak495101112113J. Mejzlik49111271092
WApr 13 · 09:08K. Polak4111811113J. Mejzlik28411851
WApr 13 · 07:00K. Polak3611113113J. Mejzlik29671151
WJan 20 · 14:15K. Polak48611911113J. Mejzlik4311811582
LOct 19 · 08:00K. Polak45671111102J. Mejzlik48111186123
WOct 18 · 20:53K. Polak45811114113J. Mejzlik4211391182
K. Polak10
LSep 28 · 15:30J. Pina1.8311125113K. Polak1.838101141LSep 28 · 14:00K. Polak2.2511761192P. Fiser1.57811117113LSep 25 · 16:59M. Melisek1.731111113K. Polak2.006770LSep 25 · 16:00K. Polak1.67134881M. Melisek2.10111111113LSep 25 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67111182K. Polak2.103780LSep 25 · 14:00T. Stejskal1.91811611113K. Polak1.8011811472LSep 24 · 16:58K. Polak2.751081191K. Farsky1.4012119113LSep 24 · 16:00K. Farsky1.441113113K. Polak2.6381160WSep 24 · 15:00L. Tuma1.5312790K. Polak2.381411113WSep 24 · 13:30P. Abraham1.53118981K. Polak2.3881111113
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 28 · 13:30J. Pina1.67311561J. Mejzlik2.1011911113WSep 27 · 12:18J. Mejzlik2.00111197123K. Jirousek1.73771111102LSep 27 · 11:45J. Mejzlik2.509960L. Hendrych1.501111113LSep 27 · 10:15K. Jirousek1.8313711113J. Mejzlik1.831111781LSep 27 · 09:45J. Hanacek2.2012611113J. Mejzlik1.611011831LSep 26 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer1.57611114113J. Mejzlik2.2511921192WSep 26 · 15:00J. Mejzlik1.7311119142J. Hanacek2.009311141WSep 26 · 14:00J. Mejzlik1.8011611113A. Dvoracek1.91811991LSep 14 · 08:33M. Vorel1.9111411113J. Mejzlik1.80811731LSep 14 · 07:30J. Mejzlik1.734115111O. Plyska2.0011711133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.