TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Muller vs Tomas Rein 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171186111412––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingRadek Muller above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 80 set 4, 14-12
80 points played in total.
H2H Radek Muller 4–3 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Muller beat Rein 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Muller)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 1.44 / Rein 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Muller)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13207510
Muller1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 35 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Rein2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 94 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back20% 37 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMuller4wins
AwayRein3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderMuller leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuller66.7%2 of 3
AwayRein50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muller3Rein4n = 7Rein took 4 of 7
S2Muller4Rein3n = 7Muller took 4 of 7
S3Muller3Rein4n = 7Rein took 4 of 7
S4Muller4Rein1n = 5Muller took 4 of 5
S5Muller2Rein2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMullerReinM − RBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.737.9+4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerReinBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 334 vs 385 / 85750%44.9%167 / 334 vs 385 / 857Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MullerMuller 1.44/Rein 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Muller · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Muller won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 27 · 16:50R. Muller496111011113T. Rein3911612372
WSep 16 · 22:38R. Muller5310111011113T. Rein4112812362
WSep 16 · 20:25R. Muller44111111113T. Rein37713891
LAug 23 · 21:28R. Muller4411981152T. Rein50911118113
LAug 23 · 18:20R. Muller50911111092T. Rein42114412113
WJul 3 · 19:25R. Muller361111143T. Rein2347120
LJun 5 · 06:55R. Muller236980T. Rein331111113
R. Muller10
WSep 27 · 16:50T. Rein2.3811612372R. Muller1.536111011113LSep 27 · 15:50R. Muller1.67611101182J. Sebl2.10116128113LSep 27 · 14:20J. Dohnal2.001111113R. Muller1.739990WSep 22 · 10:10R. Muller1.92712911113F. Balcar1.78111011892LSep 22 · 08:55R. Muller2.109890M. Filipek1.671111113LSep 22 · 07:55R. Muller2.10612111242B. Budik1.601114210113WSep 22 · 06:55R. Muller2.251111133F. Balcar1.5787110WSep 16 · 22:38R. Muller1.2810111011113T. Rein3.5012812362LSep 16 · 20:55C. Kratochvil1.6713111143R. Muller2.1011118121WSep 16 · 20:25T. Rein2.00713891R. Muller1.73111111113
T. Rein10
LSep 27 · 16:50T. Rein2.3811612372R. Muller1.536111011113LSep 27 · 15:20J. Dohnal1.4411114113T. Rein2.63751171LSep 27 · 14:50J. Sebl1.731111123T. Rein2.0073100LSep 25 · 13:25T. Jr1.5312119113T. Rein2.381051181LSep 25 · 12:50F. Dvorak1.3011119113T. Rein3.40331181LSep 25 · 11:50T. Rein2.50921181S. Holik1.5011118113LSep 25 · 10:20T. Jr1.501111113T. Rein2.508760LSep 24 · 13:55B. Budik1.4491111113T. Rein2.60111871LSep 16 · 22:38R. Muller1.2810111011113T. Rein3.5012812362LSep 16 · 20:25T. Rein2.00713891R. Muller1.73111111113
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