TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Cerveny Jr vs Tomas Rein 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210115911118––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 32–30 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 30 of their 62 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.53 / Rein 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Jr)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13194722
Jr1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 67 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it82% 53 of 65
Rein2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 94 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back20% 37 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr9wins
AwayRein1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr88.9%8 of 9
AwayReinn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr9Rein1n = 10Jr took 9 of 10
S2Jr4Rein6n = 10Rein took 6 of 10
S3Jr6Rein4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Rein4n = 8split evenly
S5Jr5Rein0n = 5Jr took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrReinJ − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.739.2+2.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrReinBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 605 vs 389 / 85654.7%45.4%331 / 605 vs 389 / 856Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.53/Rein 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr49117911113T. Rein4361111692
LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr28116471T. Rein4291111113
WAug 16 · 19:50T. Jr4312512143T. Rein43101110121
WJul 20 · 14:50T. Jr331111113T. Rein236980
WApr 24 · 13:59T. Jr331111113T. Rein248790
WApr 24 · 12:55T. Jr47138114113T. Rein48111171182
WApr 21 · 14:20T. Jr48119116113T. Rein4591191152
WApr 7 · 10:50T. Jr49111215113T. Rein428141371
WMar 31 · 13:18T. Jr46111158113T. Rein4045111192
WMar 31 · 11:20T. Jr41511311113T. Rein4211411792
T. Jr10
LSep 25 · 12:20T. Jr2.10711111182S. Holik1.67111347113LSep 25 · 11:20T. Jr2.636740F. Dvorak1.441111113WSep 25 · 10:20T. Jr1.501111113T. Rein2.508760WSep 22 · 22:00P. Cibik3.25117881T. Jr1.3391111113WSep 22 · 20:50T. Barsa1.7311991182T. Jr2.00311118113LSep 22 · 19:50T. Jr1.3071011101P. Cibik3.4011126123WSep 22 · 18:20L. Vich1.83118861T. Jr1.8371111113WSep 21 · 14:00T. Jr1.20111111113M. Kolbusovsky3.80881391LSep 21 · 12:50J. Vintr2.2512155113T. Jr1.5710131181WSep 21 · 11:50T. Jr1.53111111113M. Kolbusovsky2.38691381
T. Rein10
LSep 25 · 12:50F. Dvorak1.3011119113T. Rein3.40331181LSep 25 · 11:50T. Rein2.50921181S. Holik1.5011118113LSep 25 · 10:20T. Jr1.501111113T. Rein2.508760LSep 24 · 13:55B. Budik1.4491111113T. Rein2.60111871WSep 24 · 12:20P. Vodal1.83411981T. Rein1.8311911113LSep 24 · 11:50B. Budik1.511011411113T. Rein2.3712211372WSep 24 · 10:50T. Rein1.731111113D. Vojna2.007380WSep 23 · 13:20D. Vojna1.803670T. Rein1.911111113WSep 23 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.2811116852T. Rein3.50421111113LSep 23 · 11:50O. Knazik1.361311113T. Rein3.0011260
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