TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Fnukal vs Tomas Palan 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11911514167111012
Tomas Palan
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadek Fnukal above · Tomas Palan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 106 set 5, 10-12
106 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fnukal 1–0 Tomas Palan Tomas Palan has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Fnukal beat Palan 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fnukal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFnukal 1.67 / Palan 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Fnukal)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13207471
Fnukal1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 26 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it61% 14 of 23
Palan2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFnukal1wins
AwayPalan0wins
Fnukal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFnukalPalanF − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFnukalPalanBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 141 vs 6 / 1050.4%60%71 / 141 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FnukalFnukal 1.67/Palan 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Fnukal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Palan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 27 · 14:05R. Fnukal331111113T. Palan186480
R. Fnukal10
LSep 27 · 16:05R. Fnukal2.106870P. Zivny1.671111113LSep 27 · 15:05R. Fnukal1.611169101D. Hons2.2051111123WSep 27 · 14:05R. Fnukal2.501111113T. Palan1.506480WSep 20 · 17:45R. Fnukal1.53117811113J. Lovl2.3861111892WSep 20 · 16:35R. Fnukal1.61116912113J. Martin2.20811111072WSep 20 · 15:05D. Hons2.2510111181R. Fnukal1.5712139113WSep 20 · 14:35J. Lovl2.501111612132R. Fnukal1.50881114153WSep 11 · 13:10R. Fitl1.67111011992R. Fnukal2.10912711113LSep 11 · 12:05R. Neterda2.20771111113R. Fnukal1.6111114882WSep 11 · 11:35J. Lovl2.63612111172R. Fnukal1.44111473113
T. Palan10
WSep 27 · 16:35D. Hons2.10911551T. Palan1.6711911113LSep 27 · 15:35T. Palan2.001311111142P. Zivny1.73159133113LSep 27 · 14:05R. Fnukal2.501111113T. Palan1.506480WFeb 14 · 14:30T. Trnka—117971T. Palan—81111113WFeb 14 · 13:30T. Palan—1111113J. Vanek—6960LFeb 14 · 12:00T. Palan—811861T. Trnka—11611113WFeb 14 · 11:00P. Uher—21070T. Palan—1112113LFeb 13 · 18:30T. Palan—119911132V. Brom—711118153WFeb 13 · 17:30T. Palan—116117123N. Kriz—711211102WFeb 13 · 16:00T. Palan—115711163P. Zivny—811118142
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