TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Skakal vs Jakub Tazler 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115911117411
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:22 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 88 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Martin Skakal at 58.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 6–3 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skakal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Skakal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skakal 1719 vs Tazler 1683
Skakal
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skakal 60% vs Tazler 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skakal 60% vs Tazler 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skakal +2 · Tazler +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Skakal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 1.61 / Tazler 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skakal)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13207141
Skakal1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 35 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it83% 24 of 29
Tazler2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 102 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkakal6wins
AwayTazler3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSkakal leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkakal100%3 of 3
AwayTazler50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skakal3Tazler6n = 9Tazler took 6 of 9
S2Skakal6Tazler3n = 9Skakal took 6 of 9
S3Skakal5Tazler4n = 9Skakal took 5 of 9
S4Skakal4Tazler3n = 7Skakal took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkakalTazlerS − TBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match41.439.2+2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 172 vs 408 / 74852.3%54.6%90 / 172 vs 408 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSkakal 1.61/Tazler 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 26 · 23:30M. Skakal366101191J. Tazler4011126113
WSep 10 · 03:29M. Skakal3911611113J. Tazler31811751
WSep 9 · 22:30M. Skakal45121110123J. Tazler4010812101
LSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal26411110J. Tazler371113133
WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal331111113J. Tazler228590
WAug 19 · 22:30M. Skakal4991118113J. Tazler431181681
WAug 13 · 23:00M. Skakal582111114113J. Tazler5323751172
WAug 5 · 03:30M. Skakal507111011113J. Tazler4611712972
LAug 4 · 22:30M. Skakal371011971J. Tazler4112711113
M. Skakal10
WSep 29 · 00:30S. Kasnik2.1081170M. Skakal1.671113113WSep 28 · 23:30O. Svacha1.57911981M. Skakal2.2511911113LSep 28 · 22:30M. Skakal2.0051090R. Wagner1.731112113LSep 28 · 21:30R. Urbaniec1.551111113M. Skakal2.301960WSep 28 · 20:30O. Cmerda1.6787110M. Skakal2.101111133LSep 28 · 19:30M. Skakal2.6371191172R. Urbaniec1.44115115113WSep 28 · 18:30V. Nohejl1.571114111162M. Skakal2.25216513113WSep 27 · 03:00M. Klement2.101091151M. Skakal1.6712119113LSep 27 · 02:30T. Franek1.801111113M. Skakal1.916450WSep 27 · 01:00M. Klement1.9110880M. Skakal1.801211113
J. Tazler10
WSep 29 · 02:30J. Tazler4.00111113113O. Svacha1.22381591WSep 29 · 00:00J. Tazler1.91119714113R. Wagner1.80911111282LSep 28 · 23:00S. Kasnik1.801011153133J. Tazler1.911281311112WSep 28 · 16:58J. Tazler1.6713117113M. Pikous2.101161121WSep 28 · 16:00M. Pikous1.8314760J. Tazler1.831611113LSep 28 · 15:00J. Louda1.67114511123J. Tazler2.10811119102LSep 28 · 14:30J. Tazler1.67101161172M. Regner2.10129116113WSep 27 · 03:30J. Tazler2.1561511113T. Franek1.631113761WSep 27 · 01:30J. Tazler1.801211113T. Franek1.9110730WSep 27 · 00:30M. Regner1.80116981J. Tazler1.9181111113
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