TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Louda vs Jakub Tazler 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1184115111191210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 92 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jiri Louda at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 6–3 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Louda
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1558 vs Tazler 1678
Tazler
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 40% vs Tazler 80%
Tazler
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 30% vs Tazler 50%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda +1 · Tazler -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Louda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.67 / Tazler 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tazler)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206823
Louda1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 173 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it87% 78 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it72% 129 of 180
Tazler2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 102 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLouda6wins
AwayTazler3wins
5 of 9 to a deciderLouda leads 6–3, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda60%3 of 5
AwayTazler25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda5Tazler4n = 9Louda took 5 of 9
S2Louda6Tazler3n = 9Louda took 6 of 9
S3Louda5Tazler4n = 9Louda took 5 of 9
S4Louda4Tazler4n = 8split evenly
S5Louda3Tazler2n = 5Louda took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricLoudaTazlerL − TBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match44.641.6+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime610 / 1195 vs 405 / 74351.1%54.5%610 / 1195 vs 405 / 743Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TazlerLouda 1.67/Tazler 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 21:13J. Louda49111110892J. Tazler45561211113
LSep 19 · 20:30J. Louda331111561J. Tazler4413911113
WSep 6 · 23:00J. Louda561191312113J. Tazler52811111482
WAug 21 · 00:00J. Louda494111110133J. Tazler47117612112
WAug 16 · 23:30J. Louda45121111113J. Tazler36149581
WJul 11 · 07:00J. Louda351311113J. Tazler2811890
WJun 21 · 21:00J. Louda3741111113J. Tazler25114551
LJun 21 · 20:30J. Louda45115811102J. Tazler52911119123
WMar 5 · 17:30J. Louda521191011113J. Tazler4591112672
J. Louda10
WSep 28 · 14:00M. Pikous1.916390J. Louda1.801111113LSep 28 · 02:58M. Pikous2.001111123J. Louda1.7375100LSep 28 · 02:30M. Pikous2.0011711113J. Louda1.73411591WSep 28 · 01:00S. Kadavy2.2010450J. Louda1.611211113LSep 27 · 23:30J. Louda1.28911111092P. Pycha3.50118712113LSep 27 · 22:00J. Louda1.834111031K. Schopf1.8311712113LSep 26 · 08:59J. Louda1.5311811942J. Zuzanek2.38411711113LSep 26 · 08:30J. Louda1.807630M. Sopko1.911111113WSep 26 · 07:00J. Louda1.5711131110113J. Zuzanek2.2541561272LSep 26 · 06:00M. Vondrak2.5011135113J. Louda1.506111191
J. Tazler10
LSep 28 · 14:30J. Tazler1.67101161172M. Regner2.10129116113WSep 27 · 03:30J. Tazler2.1561511113T. Franek1.631113761WSep 27 · 01:30J. Tazler1.801211113T. Franek1.9110730WSep 27 · 00:30M. Regner1.80116981J. Tazler1.9181111113WSep 26 · 23:30M. Skakal1.576101191J. Tazler2.2511126113LSep 26 · 22:30J. Tazler1.80115291M. Klement1.9151111113LSep 26 · 13:08J. Tazler3.2561050J. Zuzanek1.331112113WSep 26 · 12:00J. Tazler1.801112113J. Zuzanek1.9151060LSep 26 · 11:30M. Sopko1.831210311113J. Tazler1.83101211772LSep 26 · 10:00J. Tazler1.80911111082M. Regner1.91118912113
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