TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Sebastian Kasnik vs Martin Skakal 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:27 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 61 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Martin Skakal at 57.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 6–2 Martin Skakal Martin Skakal has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skakal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Kasnik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1605 vs Skakal 1709
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 60% vs Skakal 40%
Kasnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 70% vs Skakal 50%
Kasnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik +1 · Skakal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Skakal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.10 / Skakal 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Skakal)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13207214
Kasnik2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 117 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 88
Skakal1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 35 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it83% 24 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKasnik6wins
AwaySkakal2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKasnik leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik100%5 of 5
AwaySkakal66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik5Skakal3n = 8Kasnik took 5 of 8
S2Kasnik5Skakal3n = 8Kasnik took 5 of 8
S3Kasnik4Skakal4n = 8split evenly
S4Kasnik2Skakal3n = 5Skakal took 3 of 5
S5Kasnik3Skakal0n = 3Kasnik took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKasnikSkakalK − SBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match36.834.0+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime473 / 1005 vs 89 / 17147.1%52.1%473 / 1005 vs 89 / 171Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalKasnik 2.10/Skakal 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 22 · 20:30S. Kasnik186480M. Skakal331111113
WAug 28 · 01:00S. Kasnik43731111113M. Skakal4011117832
WAug 19 · 23:30S. Kasnik351111133M. Skakal2458110
WAug 18 · 03:30S. Kasnik331111113M. Skakal217680
LAug 17 · 23:00S. Kasnik33811771M. Skakal4111811113
WAug 17 · 20:00S. Kasnik46111283123M. Skakal497101111102
WAug 12 · 01:00S. Kasnik3811115113M. Skakal32691161
WMay 14 · 22:30S. Kasnik48116119113M. Skakal3251131122
S. Kasnik10
WSep 28 · 23:00S. Kasnik1.801011153133J. Tazler1.911281311112LSep 28 · 22:00O. Svacha1.361111113S. Kasnik3.002250WSep 25 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.0012113113M. Sychra1.731081191WSep 25 · 08:30M. Sychra1.735880S. Kasnik2.001111113LSep 25 · 07:30S. Kasnik1.6751161152J. Tazler2.10117119113LSep 25 · 06:30M. Vondrak2.2511127133S. Kasnik1.5761011111WSep 24 · 21:30S. Kasnik1.651111163D. Hofman2.1046140WSep 24 · 20:30D. Hofman2.50611681S. Kasnik1.5011711113WSep 24 · 19:30S. Kasnik2.201111113J. Louda1.619880WSep 24 · 18:30M. Pikous1.50811101182S. Kasnik2.50119126113
M. Skakal10
LSep 29 · 01:30M. Skakal1.6181191142J. Tazler2.20115117113WSep 28 · 23:30O. Svacha1.57911981M. Skakal2.2511911113LSep 28 · 22:30M. Skakal2.0051090R. Wagner1.731112113LSep 28 · 21:30R. Urbaniec1.551111113M. Skakal2.301960WSep 28 · 20:30O. Cmerda1.6787110M. Skakal2.101111133LSep 28 · 19:30M. Skakal2.6371191172R. Urbaniec1.44115115113WSep 28 · 18:30V. Nohejl1.571114111162M. Skakal2.25216513113WSep 27 · 03:00M. Klement2.101091151M. Skakal1.6712119113LSep 27 · 02:30T. Franek1.801111113M. Skakal1.916450WSep 27 · 01:00M. Klement1.9110880M. Skakal1.801211113
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