TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Andrzej Krezel vs Miroslaw Lewczuk 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311119119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrzej Krezel above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 64 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Andrzej Krezel 3–4 Miroslaw Lewczuk Andrzej Krezel has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Lewczuk beat Krezel 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lewczuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1518 vs Lewczuk 1352
Krezel
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 40% vs Lewczuk 60%
Lewczuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 60% vs Lewczuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel -3 · Lewczuk -1
Krezel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lewczuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 2.10 / Lewczuk 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lewczuk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13206119
Krezel2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 57 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back13% 14 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69
Lewczuk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 167 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 112 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKrezel3wins
AwayLewczuk4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderLewczuk leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezel100%3 of 3
AwayLewczuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel3Lewczuk4n = 7Lewczuk took 4 of 7
S2Krezel3Lewczuk4n = 7Lewczuk took 4 of 7
S3Krezel2Lewczuk5n = 7Lewczuk took 5 of 7
S4Krezel1Lewczuk3n = 4Lewczuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKrezelLewczukK − LBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match33.638.6−5.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 256 vs 494 / 96337.5%51.3%96 / 256 vs 494 / 963Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukKrezel 2.10/Lewczuk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 27 · 19:40A. Krezel32911751M. Lewczuk3811511113
WSep 3 · 23:20A. Krezel52118184113M. Lewczuk53611161192
LSep 3 · 17:20A. Krezel228770M. Lewczuk331111113
LSep 2 · 22:35A. Krezel154830M. Lewczuk331111113
WSep 2 · 15:00A. Krezel49119611123M. Lewczuk46511119102
WAug 24 · 23:50A. Krezel331111113M. Lewczuk237790
LAug 24 · 20:30A. Krezel323127101M. Lewczuk44111011123
A. Krezel10
LSep 27 · 21:00A. Krezel1.538411101G. Mucha2.3811116123LSep 27 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.5711511113A. Krezel2.25911751LSep 27 · 18:55A. Szurgot3.4011611133A. Krezel1.306119111WSep 27 · 18:10A. Krezel3.001111113H. Tkaczyk1.363980WSep 27 · 16:35A. Krezel1.61118138123G. Mucha2.205111111102WSep 27 · 15:50A. Kubiak2.206480A. Krezel1.611111113LSep 18 · 04:40A. Krezel2.604780J. Zelezik1.341111113WSep 18 · 03:05K. Kwiatkowski1.6574120A. Krezel2.101111143WSep 18 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.51911661A. Krezel2.4111711113WSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 27 · 21:20M. Lewczuk2.258111481H. Tkaczyk1.5711516113WSep 27 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.5711511113A. Krezel2.25911751LSep 27 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.8310131141A. Kubiak1.8312157113WSep 27 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.53117114113G. Mucha2.3841161162WSep 27 · 16:15A. Szurgot2.75891161M. Lewczuk1.4011117113LSep 27 · 15:25M. Lewczuk2.5071111952H. Tkaczyk1.50119711113WSep 25 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.95961151M. Lewczuk1.3511116113WSep 25 · 03:55G. Mucha2.15451191M. Lewczuk1.6011113113LSep 25 · 01:55Z. Nocun1.4214114113M. Lewczuk2.651281191LSep 25 · 01:10M. Baran2.0011511113M. Lewczuk1.72711761
Upcoming Matches
A. Krezel
Sep 27 · 23:45A. Krezel1.40A. Kubiak2.75—Sep 28 · 01:00A. Krezel1.50A. Szurgot2.50—Sep 28 · 02:35A. Krezel2.50H. Tkaczyk1.50—Sep 28 · 15:50A. Krezel—A. Skupinski——Sep 28 · 16:55A. Krezel—K. Kwiatkowski——Sep 28 · 17:45A. Krezel—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 28 · 18:30A. Krezel—M. Lewczuk——Sep 28 · 20:05A. Krezel—Z. Nocun——Sep 28 · 21:45A. Krezel—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 28 · 22:50A. Krezel—K. Kwiatkowski——
M. Lewczuk
Sep 27 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.53G. Mucha2.38—Sep 28 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.73A. Kubiak2.00—Sep 28 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.22A. Szurgot4.00—Sep 28 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—K. Kwiatkowski——Sep 28 · 16:15M. Lewczuk—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 28 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——Sep 28 · 18:30M. Lewczuk—A. Krezel——Sep 28 · 19:40M. Lewczuk—A. Skupinski——Sep 28 · 21:20M. Lewczuk—K. Kwiatkowski——Sep 28 · 22:10M. Lewczuk—A. Barton——
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