TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Andrzej Krezel 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119511117115––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Andrzej Krezel below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 54.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 3–3 Andrzej Krezel Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1360 vs Krezel 1546
Krezel
Wrong
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Krezel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 50% vs Krezel 80%
Krezel
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Krezel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.57 / Krezel 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Lewczuk)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13206357
Lewczuk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 167 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 112 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 159
Krezel2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 57 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back13% 14 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLewczuk3wins
AwayKrezel3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk100%3 of 3
AwayKrezel100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk3Krezel3n = 6split evenly
S2Lewczuk4Krezel2n = 6Lewczuk took 4 of 6
S3Lewczuk4Krezel2n = 6Lewczuk took 4 of 6
S4Lewczuk2Krezel1n = 3Lewczuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLewczukKrezelL − KBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.733.8+4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 961 vs 96 / 25551.3%37.7%493 / 961 vs 96 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.57/Krezel 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 3 · 23:20M. Lewczuk53611161192A. Krezel52118184113
WSep 3 · 17:20M. Lewczuk331111113A. Krezel228770
WSep 2 · 22:35M. Lewczuk331111113A. Krezel154830
LSep 2 · 15:00M. Lewczuk46511119102A. Krezel49119611123
LAug 24 · 23:50M. Lewczuk237790A. Krezel331111113
WAug 24 · 20:30M. Lewczuk44111011123A. Krezel323127101
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 27 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.8310131141A. Kubiak1.8312157113WSep 27 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.53117114113G. Mucha2.3841161162WSep 27 · 16:15A. Szurgot2.75891161M. Lewczuk1.4011117113LSep 27 · 15:25M. Lewczuk2.5071111952H. Tkaczyk1.50119711113WSep 25 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.95961151M. Lewczuk1.3511116113WSep 25 · 03:55G. Mucha2.15451191M. Lewczuk1.6011113113LSep 25 · 01:55Z. Nocun1.4214114113M. Lewczuk2.651281191LSep 25 · 01:10M. Baran2.0011511113M. Lewczuk1.72711761LSep 24 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.3511101011113M. Lewczuk2.9571212542WSep 24 · 22:40A. Staniczek3.4511770M. Lewczuk1.251311113
A. Krezel10
LSep 27 · 18:55A. Szurgot3.4011611133A. Krezel1.306119111WSep 27 · 18:10A. Krezel3.001111113H. Tkaczyk1.363980WSep 27 · 16:35A. Krezel1.61118138123G. Mucha2.205111111102WSep 27 · 15:50A. Kubiak2.206480A. Krezel1.611111113LSep 18 · 04:40A. Krezel2.604780J. Zelezik1.341111113WSep 18 · 03:05K. Kwiatkowski1.6574120A. Krezel2.101111143WSep 18 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.51911661A. Krezel2.4111711113WSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392WSep 18 · 00:20A. Krezel1.801141111113J. Michalik1.8551161342WSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel1.8571111113J. Zelezik1.80115551
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
Sep 27 · 21:20M. Lewczuk2.25H. Tkaczyk1.57—Sep 27 · 22:10M. Lewczuk1.57A. Krezel2.25—Sep 27 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.53G. Mucha2.38—Sep 28 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.73A. Kubiak2.00—Sep 28 · 01:45M. Lewczuk—A. Szurgot——Sep 28 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—K. Kwiatkowski——Sep 28 · 16:15M. Lewczuk—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 28 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——Sep 28 · 18:30M. Lewczuk—A. Krezel——Sep 28 · 19:40M. Lewczuk—A. Skupinski——
A. Krezel
Sep 27 · 21:00A. Krezel1.90G. Mucha1.76—Sep 27 · 22:10A. Krezel2.25M. Lewczuk1.57—Sep 27 · 23:45A. Krezel—A. Kubiak——Sep 28 · 01:00A. Krezel—A. Szurgot——Sep 28 · 02:35A. Krezel2.38H. Tkaczyk1.53—Sep 28 · 15:50A. Krezel—A. Skupinski——Sep 28 · 16:55A. Krezel—K. Kwiatkowski——Sep 28 · 17:45A. Krezel—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 28 · 18:30A. Krezel—M. Lewczuk——Sep 28 · 20:05A. Krezel—Z. Nocun——
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