TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Mucha vs Miroslaw Lewczuk 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411511113911––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
411511113911––
H2H Grzegorz Mucha 4–13 Miroslaw Lewczuk Grzegorz Mucha has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Mucha beat Lewczuk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-13 in 17
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mucha 1378 vs Lewczuk 1349
Mucha
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mucha 80% vs Lewczuk 20%
Mucha
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mucha 50% vs Lewczuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mucha -1 · Lewczuk -3
Lewczuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMucha 2.15 / Lewczuk 1.60
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Lewczuk)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13184193
Mucha2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 49 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 53
Lewczuk1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 168 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it96% 111 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMucha4wins
AwayLewczuk6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMucha60%3 of 5
AwayLewczuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mucha5Lewczuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Mucha3Lewczuk7n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S3Mucha3Lewczuk7n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S4Mucha3Lewczuk4n = 7Lewczuk took 4 of 7
S5Mucha3Lewczuk2n = 5Mucha took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMuchaLewczukM − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.041.7−3.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuchaLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 320 vs 489 / 95549.7%51.2%159 / 320 vs 489 / 955Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukMucha 2.15/Lewczuk 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 21:55G. Mucha521181011123M. Lewczuk46811125102
WSep 14 · 23:10G. Mucha3961111113M. Lewczuk33119941
LSep 14 · 17:20G. Mucha228590M. Lewczuk331111113
WSep 13 · 23:20G. Mucha49117135133M. Lewczuk517111111112
LSep 13 · 17:20G. Mucha375116151M. Lewczuk4611711173
WSep 6 · 23:20G. Mucha46128411113M. Lewczuk44101111752
LSep 6 · 17:20G. Mucha45111174122M. Lewczuk48841111143
LAug 17 · 23:10G. Mucha46111112932M. Lewczuk494131011113
LAug 17 · 17:20G. Mucha2310850M. Lewczuk341211113
LAug 16 · 02:35G. Mucha218670M. Lewczuk331111113
G. Mucha10
LSep 25 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.4011411113G. Mucha2.65511681LSep 25 · 02:45M. Baran2.1051111113G. Mucha1.65116571WSep 25 · 01:30A. Staniczek2.7011111231G. Mucha1.4291314113WSep 24 · 23:55Z. Nocun1.776890G. Mucha1.951111113WSep 24 · 23:05M. Baran1.8510660G. Mucha1.851211113WSep 24 · 21:55G. Mucha2.371181011123M. Lewczuk1.52811125102LSep 24 · 20:45D. Molenda1.241111113G. Mucha3.755880LSep 24 · 19:30A. Staniczek2.601111113G. Mucha1.348770LSep 24 · 17:55Z. Nocun1.8211911113G. Mucha1.88411931LSep 21 · 02:35Z. Nocun1.67711148113G. Mucha2.10119121132
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 25 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.95961151M. Lewczuk1.3511116113LSep 25 · 01:55Z. Nocun1.4214114113M. Lewczuk2.651281191LSep 25 · 01:10M. Baran2.0011511113M. Lewczuk1.72711761LSep 24 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.3511101011113M. Lewczuk2.9571212542WSep 24 · 22:40A. Staniczek3.4511770M. Lewczuk1.251311113LSep 24 · 21:55G. Mucha2.371181011123M. Lewczuk1.52811125102LSep 24 · 19:55Z. Nocun1.7551111113M. Lewczuk1.95117871WSep 24 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2351111862M. Lewczuk3.80119611113WSep 24 · 17:30M. Baran2.1079110M. Lewczuk1.601111133LSep 24 · 01:45K. Delikatny2.751111113M. Lewczuk1.404660
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