TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Kamil Novak vs Jiri Dedek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119511311––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Novak above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 72 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Novak 13–13 Jiri Dedek Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novak 1365 vs Dedek 1454
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 0% vs Dedek 40%
Dedek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 10% vs Dedek 40%
Dedek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak -9 · Dedek -2
Novak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 1.83 / Dedek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dedek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13205517
Novak1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 25)
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Dedek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 27)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovak6wins
AwayDedek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderNovak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovak62.5%5 of 8
AwayDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novak8Dedek2n = 10Novak took 8 of 10
S2Novak3Dedek7n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S3Novak6Dedek4n = 10Novak took 6 of 10
S4Novak6Dedek2n = 8Novak took 6 of 8
S5Novak2Dedek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovakDedekN − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.836.3+3.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 278 vs 492 / 95547.1%51.5%131 / 278 vs 492 / 955Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekNovak 1.83/Dedek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 25 · 19:30K. Novak371410491J. Dedek46121211113
WMay 28 · 12:00K. Novak341211113J. Dedek2210930
LMay 8 · 11:00K. Novak4411491192J. Dedek41611112113
WMar 27 · 15:00K. Novak471011123113J. Dedek45126101162
WMar 18 · 19:00K. Novak4112711113J. Dedek381011981
LFeb 8 · 00:30K. Novak4411971162J. Dedek46511118113
WFeb 1 · 18:00K. Novak331111113J. Dedek123360
WFeb 1 · 17:30K. Novak39114211113J. Dedek4171111662
WJan 3 · 20:00K. Novak3911311143J. Dedek368115121
K. Novak10
WSep 28 · 15:30M. Kolar1.4048110K. Novak2.751111133LSep 25 · 21:09V. Postelt1.721211113K. Novak2.0010590LSep 25 · 20:00K. Novak3.401015111192V. Postelt1.301213136113LSep 25 · 19:30J. Dedek2.10121211113K. Novak1.671410491LSep 25 · 18:00K. Novak1.61112891M. Kolar2.20111011113LSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101LSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:30K. Novak2.2559111282J. Trefny1.571111910113LSep 19 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk2.1011611113K. Novak1.67911781LSep 11 · 21:28K. Novak1.538870L. Krok2.381111113
J. Dedek10
LSep 28 · 15:00J. Dedek2.1011124982L. Stacho1.674101111113LSep 27 · 03:30T. Varnuska1.731111113J. Dedek2.005350LSep 27 · 02:00M. Kolar1.7391211113J. Dedek2.001110691WSep 27 · 00:30J. Dedek1.73141111113A. Mikuska2.00163371WSep 26 · 23:00J. Dedek1.9111119113J. Plachy1.80881181LSep 26 · 22:00T. Varnuska1.6121111133J. Dedek2.201177111WSep 26 · 17:05M. Kolar1.831381191J. Dedek1.83111113113LSep 26 · 16:30M. Kolar1.61911114113J. Dedek2.2011391172LSep 26 · 15:30J. Dedek3.4041141162J. Stolfa1.30115115113WSep 25 · 19:30J. Dedek2.10121211113K. Novak1.671410491
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