TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Varnuska vs Jiri Dedek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113115––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Varnuska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Varnuska above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 46 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Varnuska at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Varnuska beat Dedek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Varnuska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Varnuska 1563 vs Dedek 1495
Varnuska
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varnuska 80% vs Dedek 60%
Varnuska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varnuska 70% vs Dedek 40%
Varnuska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varnuska +4 · Dedek -1
Varnuska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varnuska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varnuska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarnuska 1.73 / Dedek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Varnuska)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13204812
Varnuska1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 15 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Dedek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 81 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarnuskaDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 107 vs 492 / 95345.8%51.6%49 / 107 vs 492 / 953Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarnuskaVarnuska 1.73/Dedek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Varnuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Varnuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 26 · 22:00T. Varnuska3721111133J. Dedek361177111
T. Varnuska10
WSep 27 · 02:30J. Plachy1.91951191T. Varnuska1.8011116113WSep 27 · 01:00M. Kolar2.63711491T. Varnuska1.4411511113WSep 26 · 23:30T. Varnuska1.67911911113A. Mikuska2.1011511742WSep 26 · 22:00T. Varnuska1.6121111133J. Dedek2.201177111LSep 15 · 09:30P. Zmuda1.43101211113T. Varnuska2.601210741WSep 15 · 08:00T. Varnuska2.10761111163M. Vesely1.67111169142WSep 15 · 07:30J. Prokupek1.8311118782T. Varnuska1.83481111113LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113LAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232
J. Dedek10
LSep 27 · 02:00M. Kolar1.7391211113J. Dedek2.001110691WSep 27 · 00:30J. Dedek1.73141111113A. Mikuska2.00163371WSep 26 · 23:00J. Dedek1.9111119113J. Plachy1.80881181LSep 26 · 22:00T. Varnuska1.6121111133J. Dedek2.201177111WSep 26 · 17:05M. Kolar1.831381191J. Dedek1.83111113113LSep 26 · 16:30M. Kolar1.61911114113J. Dedek2.2011391172LSep 26 · 15:30J. Dedek3.4041141162J. Stolfa1.30115115113LSep 26 · 14:30J. Plachy1.80119118113J. Dedek1.9131191192WSep 25 · 21:30M. Kolar1.5368111162J. Dedek2.38111187113LSep 25 · 20:30M. Kolar1.5771112113J. Dedek2.251161091
Upcoming Matches
T. Varnuska
J. Dedek
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