TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anton Molochko vs Nazar Danyliuk 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012811118118
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:33 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 56.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 157–179 Nazar Danyliuk Anton Molochko has won 157 of their 336 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Danyliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
157-179 in 336
Danyliuk
Wrong
gap of 22 in 336, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1941 vs Danyliuk 2154
Danyliuk
Wrong
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 60% vs Danyliuk 100%
Danyliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 40% vs Danyliuk 80%
Danyliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -2 · Danyliuk +5
Danyliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Danyliuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 2.00 / Danyliuk 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Danyliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13203332
Molochko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 55 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Danyliuk1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 175 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it95% 88 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it82% 129 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko2wins
AwayDanyliuk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko40%2 of 5
AwayDanyliuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko5Danyliuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Molochko1Danyliuk9n = 10Danyliuk took 9 of 10
S3Molochko4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S4Molochko3Danyliuk5n = 8Danyliuk took 5 of 8
S5Molochko1Danyliuk2n = 3Danyliuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoDanyliukM − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.440.7−5.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime525 / 914 vs 586 / 95757.4%61.2%525 / 914 vs 586 / 957Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukMolochko 2.00/Danyliuk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 05:05A. Molochko41112111162N. Danyliuk50131187113
LSep 22 · 16:35A. Molochko33138931N. Danyliuk44111111113
WSep 22 · 00:30A. Molochko45113119113N. Danyliuk4281171152
LSep 15 · 04:25A. Molochko34118961N. Danyliuk3631111113
LSep 14 · 13:25A. Molochko301010100N. Danyliuk361212123
LSep 14 · 00:45A. Molochko321253121N. Danyliuk46101111143
LSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko4451191182N. Danyliuk45116116113
LSep 10 · 17:01A. Molochko202990N. Danyliuk331111113
LSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko29561171N. Danyliuk3811115113
WSep 8 · 10:35A. Molochko46111014113N. Danyliuk374121291
A. Molochko10
LSep 27 · 22:15A. Molochko1.738670V. Verbyany2.001111113LSep 27 · 21:15A. Molochko1.83971181D. Zeniuk1.8311119113WSep 23 · 11:35B. Kohut2.6367100A. Molochko1.441111123WSep 23 · 10:05A. Molochko1.8311711133D. Zeniuk1.838119111WSep 23 · 08:05A. Grebeniuk1.30101114982A. Molochko3.401281211113WSep 23 · 06:05V. Verbyany1.835560A. Molochko1.831111113LSep 23 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.80131187113A. Molochko1.91112111162LSep 22 · 17:15D. Zeniuk2.001211113A. Molochko1.7310970LSep 22 · 16:35A. Molochko2.10138931N. Danyliuk1.67111111113LSep 22 · 15:35A. Molochko1.57119112102V. Verbyany2.25511911123
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 27 · 22:45N. Danyliuk1.281211113D. Zeniuk3.5010670WSep 27 · 21:45B. Kohut3.5012161291N. Danyliuk1.28141414113WSep 27 · 20:45N. Danyliuk1.50871111163V. Verbyany2.50111199142WSep 23 · 10:35V. Verbyany2.63641111102N. Danyliuk1.44111199123WSep 23 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.30891511113B. Kohut3.40111113792LSep 23 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.30811841D. Zeniuk3.4011911113WSep 23 · 07:05N. Danyliuk2.631111511113A. Grebeniuk1.4476111382WSep 23 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.80131187113A. Molochko1.91112111162LSep 22 · 17:43V. Verbyany2.251111113N. Danyliuk1.578390WSep 22 · 16:35A. Molochko2.10138931N. Danyliuk1.67111111113
Upcoming Matches
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