TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Nazar Danyliuk vs Bohdan Kohut 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8119111513117119
Bohdan Kohut
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:19 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 105 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 76.7%
105 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 86–34 Bohdan Kohut Bohdan Kohut has won 34 of their 120 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
86-34 in 120
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 52 in 120, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2117 vs Kohut 1923
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 60% vs Kohut 40%
Danyliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 60% vs Kohut 40%
Danyliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk -1 · Kohut +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.30 / Kohut 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179741
Danyliuk1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 174 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it95% 88 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it82% 129 of 158
Kohut3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 110 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back17% 27 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk8wins
AwayKohut2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk100%6 of 6
AwayKohut50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk6Kohut4n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S2Danyliuk9Kohut1n = 10Danyliuk took 9 of 10
S3Danyliuk7Kohut3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S4Danyliuk2Kohut2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukKohutD − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.028.9+7.1per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime589 / 963 vs 296 / 67061.2%44.2%589 / 963 vs 296 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.30/Kohut 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 15:05N. Danyliuk331111113B. Kohut259880
WSep 21 · 23:00N. Danyliuk341111123B. Kohut2468100
LSep 15 · 08:55N. Danyliuk378111171B. Kohut3911413113
WSep 14 · 15:25N. Danyliuk46111174133B. Kohut45841111112
WSep 13 · 23:15N. Danyliuk331111113B. Kohut198920
LSep 11 · 09:55N. Danyliuk2681080B. Kohut341112113
WSep 10 · 15:55N. Danyliuk331111113B. Kohut208840
WSep 8 · 09:35N. Danyliuk4181111113B. Kohut33115981
WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk331111113B. Kohut194870
WAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk44111111113B. Kohut31136661
N. Danyliuk10
LSep 23 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.30811841D. Zeniuk3.4011911113WSep 23 · 07:05N. Danyliuk2.631111511113A. Grebeniuk1.4476111382WSep 23 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.80131187113A. Molochko1.91112111162LSep 22 · 17:43V. Verbyany2.251111113N. Danyliuk1.578390WSep 22 · 16:35A. Molochko2.10138931N. Danyliuk1.67111111113WSep 22 · 15:05N. Danyliuk1.301111113B. Kohut3.409880WSep 22 · 13:35N. Danyliuk1.441111113V. Verbyany2.636770LSep 22 · 12:05N. Danyliuk1.25117951D. Zeniuk3.7591111113LSep 22 · 24:30A. Molochko1.91113119113N. Danyliuk1.8081171152WSep 21 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.251111123B. Kohut3.7568100
B. Kohut10
WSep 23 · 07:35V. Verbyany1.6761011131B. Kohut2.1011126153WSep 23 · 06:35B. Kohut1.8311116113D. Zeniuk1.83131171LSep 23 · 05:35A. Grebeniuk1.171111113B. Kohut4.509830LSep 22 · 16:05B. Kohut1.73881131D. Zeniuk2.0011117113LSep 22 · 15:05N. Danyliuk1.301111113B. Kohut3.409880LSep 22 · 14:05A. Molochko1.401115143B. Kohut2.75913120LSep 22 · 12:35V. Verbyany1.6161111113B. Kohut2.20115491WSep 22 · 01:18B. Kohut1.1411116123V. Verbyany5.005511101WSep 22 · 24:00B. Kohut1.7311121011113D. Zeniuk2.0091412572LSep 21 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.251111123B. Kohut3.7568100
Upcoming Matches
N. Danyliuk
Nothing scheduled
B. Kohut
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