TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Kohut vs Nazar Danyliuk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121416141214911––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 102 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 77.5%
102 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 34–88 Nazar Danyliuk Bohdan Kohut has won 34 of their 122 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:29What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-88 in 122
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 54 in 122, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1920 vs Danyliuk 2144
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 223 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 60% vs Danyliuk 80%
Danyliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 30% vs Danyliuk 80%
Danyliuk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut +1 · Danyliuk +3
Danyliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Danyliuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 3.50 / Danyliuk 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 78%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13202976
Kohut3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 109 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back17% 27 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 104
Danyliuk1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 175 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it95% 88 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it82% 129 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut2wins
AwayDanyliuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut50%2 of 4
AwayDanyliuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S2Kohut3Danyliuk7n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S3Kohut3Danyliuk7n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S4Kohut2Danyliuk3n = 5Danyliuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutDanyliukK − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.939.0−5.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 674 vs 585 / 95644.1%61.2%297 / 674 vs 585 / 956Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukKohut 3.50/Danyliuk 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 21:45B. Kohut4912161291N. Danyliuk53141414113
LSep 23 · 09:35B. Kohut51111113792N. Danyliuk54891511113
LSep 22 · 15:05B. Kohut259880N. Danyliuk331111113
LSep 21 · 23:00B. Kohut2468100N. Danyliuk341111123
WSep 15 · 08:55B. Kohut3911413113N. Danyliuk378111171
LSep 14 · 15:25B. Kohut45841111112N. Danyliuk46111174133
LSep 13 · 23:15B. Kohut198920N. Danyliuk331111113
WSep 11 · 09:55B. Kohut341112113N. Danyliuk2681080
LSep 10 · 15:55B. Kohut208840N. Danyliuk331111113
LSep 8 · 09:35B. Kohut33115981N. Danyliuk4181111113
B. Kohut10
WSep 27 · 20:15B. Kohut1.8310121310113D. Zeniuk1.831210111262LSep 23 · 11:35B. Kohut2.6367100A. Molochko1.441111123LSep 23 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.30891511113B. Kohut3.40111113792WSep 23 · 07:35V. Verbyany1.6761011131B. Kohut2.1011126153WSep 23 · 06:35B. Kohut1.8311116113D. Zeniuk1.83131171LSep 23 · 05:35A. Grebeniuk1.171111113B. Kohut4.509830LSep 22 · 16:05B. Kohut1.73881131D. Zeniuk2.0011117113LSep 22 · 15:05N. Danyliuk1.301111113B. Kohut3.409880LSep 22 · 14:05A. Molochko1.401115143B. Kohut2.75913120LSep 22 · 12:35V. Verbyany1.6161111113B. Kohut2.20115491
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 27 · 22:45N. Danyliuk1.281211113D. Zeniuk3.5010670WSep 27 · 20:45N. Danyliuk1.50871111163V. Verbyany2.50111199142WSep 23 · 10:35V. Verbyany2.63641111102N. Danyliuk1.44111199123WSep 23 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.30891511113B. Kohut3.40111113792LSep 23 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.30811841D. Zeniuk3.4011911113WSep 23 · 07:05N. Danyliuk2.631111511113A. Grebeniuk1.4476111382WSep 23 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.80131187113A. Molochko1.91112111162LSep 22 · 17:43V. Verbyany2.251111113N. Danyliuk1.578390WSep 22 · 16:35A. Molochko2.10138931N. Danyliuk1.67111111113WSep 22 · 15:05N. Danyliuk1.301111113B. Kohut3.409880
Upcoming Matches
B. Kohut
N. Danyliuk
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