TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Urbaniec vs Ales Barton 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131161181210––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:05 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeAles Barton to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Ales Barton below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Ales Barton at 59.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 7–17 Ales Barton Radim Urbaniec has won 7 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Barton
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-17 in 24
Barton
Wrong
gap of 10 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1780 vs Barton 1801
Barton
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Barton 80%
Barton
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 60% vs Barton 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Barton +3
Barton
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.75 / Barton 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Barton)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200543
Urbaniec2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 181 of 458
Down 0–1, comes back22% 57 of 258
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 143
Barton1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 84 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it74% 59 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwayBarton8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBarton leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec33.3%1 of 3
AwayBarton85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec3Barton7n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec3Barton7n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S3Urbaniec3Barton7n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S4Urbaniec3Barton5n = 8Barton took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecBartonU − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.840.3−6.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime665 / 1305 vs 227 / 43151%52.7%665 / 1305 vs 227 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonUrbaniec 2.75/Barton 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 02:58R. Urbaniec217860A. Barton331111113
LSep 25 · 02:30R. Urbaniec501111411132A. Barton50613115153
WSep 23 · 06:00R. Urbaniec571291114113A. Barton54141191282
LSep 11 · 06:00R. Urbaniec30471181A. Barton4111118113
LAug 29 · 11:30R. Urbaniec215880A. Barton331111113
LAug 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec29611571A. Barton3911611113
LAug 11 · 15:00R. Urbaniec34911861A. Barton3711411113
LAug 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec371181081A. Barton3951112113
WAug 7 · 11:00R. Urbaniec3611311113A. Barton36711991
LAug 5 · 22:00R. Urbaniec23211551A. Barton4111811113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 27 · 14:30F. Pusch1.67131157112R. Urbaniec2.101181111133LSep 26 · 21:30J. Jr1.5212511113R. Urbaniec2.351011891WSep 26 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.5311114143T. Franek2.386511121WSep 26 · 19:00R. Urbaniec1.611111117113O. Svacha2.2013871152LSep 26 · 18:00J. Jr1.531114710113R. Urbaniec2.38712111212WSep 25 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.3511117113J. Jr1.52781181LSep 25 · 20:00J. Jr1.50811119123R. Urbaniec2.50118811102WSep 25 · 19:00M. Klimenta1.531541161R. Urbaniec2.3817117113WSep 25 · 18:30R. Urbaniec2.25791111113R. Rose1.5711117992LSep 25 · 02:58A. Barton1.441111113R. Urbaniec2.637860
A. Barton10
LSep 27 · 16:00A. Barton1.5741111842F. Pusch2.2511851193WSep 27 · 14:00A. Barton1.91111177113J. Jr1.8098111172WSep 25 · 02:58A. Barton1.441111113R. Urbaniec2.637860WSep 25 · 02:30A. Barton1.44613115153R. Urbaniec2.631111411132LSep 25 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.3881311113A. Barton1.531111871WSep 25 · 00:00A. Barton1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010870LSep 24 · 23:00M. Wagner3.40411411113A. Barton1.3011611862WSep 23 · 08:58A. Barton1.3351111113M. Wagner3.25118721LSep 23 · 08:30A. Barton1.73511481J. Simecek2.0011711113WSep 23 · 07:00A. Barton1.401111123M. Wagner2.7575100
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 27 · 18:30R. Urbaniec1.61O. Svacha2.20—Sep 27 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.00F. Pusch1.73—Sep 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.38J. Jr1.53—Sep 28 · 10:00R. Urbaniec2.10F. Pusch1.67—Sep 28 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.63J. Ruzicka1.44—Sep 28 · 12:30R. Urbaniec2.25R. Rose1.57—Sep 28 · 18:00R. Urbaniec2.00O. Cmerda1.73—Sep 28 · 19:30R. Urbaniec1.41M. Skakal2.49—Sep 28 · 20:00R. Urbaniec2.25V. Nohejl1.57—
A. Barton
Nothing scheduled
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