TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Zbynek Pagac vs Tomas Kypr 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210811119116––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 78 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Pagac 5–4 Tomas Kypr Tomas Kypr has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kypr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pagac 1583 vs Kypr 1704
Kypr
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pagac 20% vs Kypr 100%
Kypr
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pagac 10% vs Kypr 80%
Kypr
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pagac +1 · Kypr +5
Kypr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kypr) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 2.20 / Kypr 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kypr)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200524
Pagac2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 95 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back18% 27 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 103
Kypr1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePagac5wins
AwayKypr4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPagac leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePagac80%4 of 5
AwayKypr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pagac5Kypr4n = 9Pagac took 5 of 9
S2Pagac6Kypr3n = 9Pagac took 6 of 9
S3Pagac2Kypr7n = 9Kypr took 7 of 9
S4Pagac3Kypr4n = 7Kypr took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricPagacKyprP − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.837.6+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 696 vs 69 / 12447.3%55.7%329 / 696 vs 69 / 124Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprPagac 2.20/Kypr 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pagac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 26 · 20:30Z. Pagac203980T. Kypr331111113
WSep 17 · 20:30Z. Pagac44121173113T. Kypr43104111172
WSep 16 · 14:30Z. Pagac331111113T. Kypr239860
WSep 15 · 14:30Z. Pagac4011117113T. Kypr32961161
WSep 11 · 17:30Z. Pagac49711611143T. Kypr45113118122
LSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac41149991T. Kypr45121111113
WSep 10 · 21:28Z. Pagac43111110113T. Kypr28661241
LSep 10 · 20:00Z. Pagac31813551T. Kypr44111111113
LSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac399713101T. Kypr45111111123
Z. Pagac10
WSep 27 · 14:00D. Szotek1.73411761Z. Pagac2.0011911113LSep 26 · 21:00M. Chalupa1.4011115113Z. Pagac2.75971181LSep 26 · 20:30T. Kypr1.831111113Z. Pagac1.833980LSep 26 · 19:30Z. Pagac2.6310940M. Chalupa1.441211113LSep 26 · 18:30D. Szotek1.7311411113Z. Pagac2.00611781LSep 24 · 20:58D. Szotek1.7311127113Z. Pagac2.006101171LSep 24 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.679980D. Szotek2.101111113LSep 24 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.204760R. Hudeczek1.611111113LSep 24 · 18:00M. Chalupa1.501111113Z. Pagac2.504870LSep 23 · 20:58Z. Pagac1.61911831M. Holub2.2011711113
T. Kypr10
WSep 27 · 14:30T. Kypr1.731441111113D. Unzeitig2.0016119582WSep 26 · 21:30T. Kypr1.781211113D. Szotek1.9210720WSep 26 · 20:30T. Kypr1.831111113Z. Pagac1.833980WSep 26 · 19:00T. Kypr1.91113911113D. Szotek1.8081111982WSep 26 · 18:00M. Chalupa1.57121451042T. Kypr2.2510121112113LSep 17 · 21:28T. Kypr2.101111831M. Chalupa1.6791311113LSep 17 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.83121173113T. Kypr1.83104111172WSep 17 · 19:30T. Kypr1.531111123M. Holub2.3888100WSep 17 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.508950T. Kypr2.501111113WSep 16 · 17:08M. Holub2.50711161T. Kypr1.5011511113
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