TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Roman Wiza vs Jakub Michalski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118119––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:36 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Wiza to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
119118119––––
H2H Roman Wiza 118–88 Jakub Michalski Jakub Michalski has won 88 of their 206 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wiza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
118-88 in 206
Wiza
Correct
gap of 30 in 206, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1338 vs Michalski 1180
Wiza
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 60% vs Michalski 20%
Wiza
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 40% vs Michalski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza +2 · Michalski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Wiza) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalski form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 1.40 / Michalski 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Wiza)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13199308
Wiza1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 96 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 73 of 91
Michalski2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 20) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 77 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back10% 18 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiza10wins
AwayMichalski0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWiza leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiza100%8 of 8
AwayMichalskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza8Michalski2n = 10Wiza took 8 of 10
S2Wiza10Michalski0n = 10Wiza took 10 of 10
S3Wiza6Michalski4n = 10Wiza took 6 of 10
S4Wiza5Michalski0n = 5Wiza took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWizaMichalskiW − MBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.528.8+10.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 944 vs 408 / 105343.4%38.8%410 / 944 vs 408 / 1053Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.433.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WizaWiza 1.40/Michalski 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Wiza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wiza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 00:20R. Wiza331111113J. Michalski156810
WSep 11 · 20:20R. Wiza4313118113J. Michalski311141151
WSep 5 · 02:45R. Wiza45111310113J. Michalski398111281
WSep 4 · 23:05R. Wiza371511113J. Michalski2713770
WAug 30 · 01:10R. Wiza341211113J. Michalski2010640
WAug 29 · 17:30R. Wiza341112113J. Michalski2061040
WAug 29 · 01:10R. Wiza4211119113J. Michalski35871191
WAug 28 · 17:30R. Wiza4391111123J. Michalski311155101
WAug 15 · 01:10R. Wiza51911911113J. Michalski4411711782
WAug 14 · 17:30R. Wiza331111113J. Michalski268990
R. Wiza10
WSep 26 · 18:45R. Wiza1.88481111113D. Fira1.8211116962WSep 26 · 04:20D. Fira2.056680R. Wiza1.681111113WSep 26 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.9010550R. Wiza1.801211113LSep 26 · 02:45R. Wiza2.101211891J. Orszulik1.6514311113WSep 26 · 01:10R. Wiza2.301111113J. Badura1.551460LSep 26 · 00:20O. Sokolowski1.95137116133R. Wiza1.771111311112LSep 25 · 23:05R. Wiza2.3065121182J. Orszulik1.531111106113LSep 25 · 21:30R. Wiza2.501110961L. Bernacki1.5091211113WSep 25 · 20:20R. Wiza1.951111113O. Sokolowski1.758990LSep 25 · 18:45R. Wiza1.956131171D. Fira1.7511159113
J. Michalski10
WSep 26 · 19:10L. Bernacki1.50118871J. Michalski2.4581111113LSep 20 · 05:05D. Dytko1.501111113J. Michalski2.504590WSep 20 · 03:55J. Michalski2.401111113J. Nowak1.514930LSep 20 · 02:45G. Sawicki1.5711115113J. Michalski2.25951181LSep 20 · 01:30D. Fira1.501111113J. Michalski2.405790LSep 19 · 23:55R. Szymik1.191111113J. Michalski3.508880WSep 19 · 23:05G. Sawicki1.5010570J. Michalski2.401211113WSep 19 · 21:55J. Michalski2.201111113J. Nowak1.577690WSep 19 · 20:45D. Dytko1.377101191J. Michalski2.8011124113LSep 19 · 19:30D. Fira1.60471111113J. Michalski2.1511114342
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