TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Lukasz Bernacki vs Roman Wiza 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511511––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
1012511511––––
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 15–4 Roman Wiza Roman Wiza has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Bernacki beat Wiza 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wiza)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiza form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 1.90 / Wiza 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wiza)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13198559
Bernacki1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 34 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Wiza1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 95 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it91% 49 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 72 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBernacki8wins
AwayWiza2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBernacki leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBernacki100%6 of 6
AwayWiza50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bernacki6Wiza4n = 10Bernacki took 6 of 10
S2Bernacki8Wiza2n = 10Bernacki took 8 of 10
S3Bernacki6Wiza4n = 10Bernacki took 6 of 10
S4Bernacki3Wiza2n = 5Bernacki took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBernackiWizaB − WBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.634.1+3.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiWizaBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 489 vs 408 / 94250.9%43.3%249 / 489 vs 408 / 942Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WizaBernacki 1.90/Wiza 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wiza · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wiza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 21:30L. Bernacki4391211113R. Wiza361110961
LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki314111061R. Wiza4311912113
WSep 5 · 21:30L. Bernacki331111113R. Wiza228680
LSep 5 · 03:30L. Bernacki186660R. Wiza331111113
WSep 4 · 20:20L. Bernacki56119913143R. Wiza538111111122
WNov 23 · 02:30L. Bernacki331111113R. Wiza207940
WNov 22 · 20:30L. Bernacki351211123R. Wiza28108100
WNov 8 · 05:20L. Bernacki351311113R. Wiza2411940
WNov 7 · 19:45L. Bernacki49811118113R. Wiza4611971182
WJul 26 · 21:30L. Bernacki4314117113R. Wiza361261171
L. Bernacki10
WSep 26 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.57101111113O. Sokolowski2.20127721LSep 26 · 00:45L. Bernacki1.52541171D. Fira2.3011116113LSep 25 · 23:30L. Bernacki1.879113101J. Badura1.8311911123WSep 25 · 22:20D. Fira2.20119661L. Bernacki1.5791111113WSep 25 · 21:30R. Wiza2.501110961L. Bernacki1.5091211113LSep 25 · 20:45L. Bernacki2.009970J. Orszulik1.721111113WSep 25 · 19:10L. Bernacki1.801111911113J. Badura1.9094111362WSep 25 · 18:20O. Sokolowski2.0581450L. Bernacki1.651116113LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113
R. Wiza10
LSep 26 · 02:45R. Wiza2.101211891J. Orszulik1.6514311113WSep 26 · 01:10R. Wiza2.301111113J. Badura1.551460LSep 26 · 00:20O. Sokolowski1.95137116133R. Wiza1.771111311112LSep 25 · 23:05R. Wiza2.3065121182J. Orszulik1.531111106113LSep 25 · 21:30R. Wiza2.501110961L. Bernacki1.5091211113WSep 25 · 20:20R. Wiza1.951111113O. Sokolowski1.758990LSep 25 · 18:45R. Wiza1.956131171D. Fira1.7511159113LSep 25 · 17:30R. Wiza2.20109100J. Badura1.571211123LSep 24 · 02:00M. Lebek2.33551211113R. Wiza1.54111110852WSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113
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