TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Damian Fira vs Jaroslaw Badura 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511911––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1012511911––––
H2H Damian Fira 3–2 Jaroslaw Badura Jaroslaw Badura has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Badura beat Fira 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Badura)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badura form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFira 2.25 / Badura 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Badura)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13198164
Fira2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back14% 8 of 58
Badura1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 77 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it89% 55 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFira3wins
AwayBadura2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderFira leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFira66.7%2 of 3
AwayBaduran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fira3Badura2n = 5Fira took 3 of 5
S2Fira4Badura1n = 5Fira took 4 of 5
S3Fira3Badura2n = 5Fira took 3 of 5
S4Fira1Badura2n = 3Badura took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricFiraBaduraF − BBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.237.2+1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiraBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 476 vs 312 / 57144.1%54.6%210 / 476 vs 312 / 571Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaduraFira 2.25/Badura 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Badura · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Badura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 25 · 19:55D. Fira28117641J. Badura4071111113
WAug 3 · 02:20D. Fira351111133J. Badura2357110
WAug 2 · 18:30D. Fira331111113J. Badura236980
LAug 2 · 02:20D. Fira501112101252J. Badura5613101210113
WAug 1 · 18:20D. Fira452111110113J. Badura4411391292
D. Fira10
WSep 26 · 03:05D. Fira1.7011117113O. Sokolowski2.00591181WSep 26 · 00:45L. Bernacki1.52541171D. Fira2.3011116113WSep 25 · 23:55D. Fira2.25123711113J. Orszulik1.57101111642LSep 25 · 22:20D. Fira2.20119661L. Bernacki1.5791111113WSep 25 · 21:05D. Fira1.8211811113O. Sokolowski1.88411651LSep 25 · 19:55D. Fira2.15117641J. Badura1.6371111113WSep 25 · 18:45R. Wiza1.956131171D. Fira1.7511159113WSep 25 · 17:55D. Fira2.751291113113J. Orszulik1.37141171122WSep 20 · 04:40D. Fira1.801211113J. Nowak1.9010650WSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik1.6866120D. Fira2.071111143
J. Badura10
LSep 26 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.7311118113J. Badura2.00641161LSep 26 · 01:10R. Wiza2.301111113J. Badura1.551460WSep 25 · 23:30L. Bernacki1.879113101J. Badura1.8311911123WSep 25 · 22:40O. Sokolowski2.20913111162J. Badura1.581111613113WSep 25 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.758112261J. Badura1.9511724113WSep 25 · 19:55D. Fira2.15117641J. Badura1.6371111113LSep 25 · 19:10L. Bernacki1.801111911113J. Badura1.9094111362WSep 25 · 17:30R. Wiza2.20109100J. Badura1.571211123LSep 19 · 16:40J. Badura1.85115611102O. Sokolowski1.80711118123WSep 19 · 15:05S. Sojka1.857111791J. Badura1.8011619113
Upcoming Matches
D. Fira
J. Badura
Nothing scheduled
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