TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oskar Sokolowski vs Jan Orszulik 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611211––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
611611211––––
H2H Oskar Sokolowski 1–0 Jan Orszulik Jan Orszulik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sokolowski beat Orszulik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:06What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Orszulik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1291 vs Orszulik 1362
Orszulik
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 40% vs Orszulik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 50% vs Orszulik 30%
Sokolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +1 · Orszulik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orszulik form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 2.40 / Orszulik 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Orszulik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13198030
Sokolowski2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 76 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back17% 26 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Orszulik1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 39 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSokolowski1wins
AwayOrszulik0wins
Sokolowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSokolowskiOrszulikS − OBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.030.0+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 388 vs 120 / 25634%46.9%132 / 388 vs 120 / 256Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikSokolowski 2.40/Orszulik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Orszulik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 25 · 19:30O. Sokolowski361113123J. Orszulik30911100
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 26 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.57101111113O. Sokolowski2.20127721WSep 26 · 00:20O. Sokolowski1.95137116133R. Wiza1.771111311112LSep 25 · 22:40O. Sokolowski2.20913111162J. Badura1.581111613113LSep 25 · 21:05D. Fira1.8211811113O. Sokolowski1.88411651LSep 25 · 20:20R. Wiza1.951111113O. Sokolowski1.758990WSep 25 · 19:30O. Sokolowski2.351113123J. Orszulik1.54911100LSep 25 · 18:20O. Sokolowski2.0581450L. Bernacki1.651116113WSep 19 · 16:40J. Badura1.85115611102O. Sokolowski1.80711118123WSep 19 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.82611110O. Sokolowski1.881113133LSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781
J. Orszulik10
WSep 26 · 02:45R. Wiza2.101211891J. Orszulik1.6514311113LSep 25 · 23:55D. Fira2.25123711113J. Orszulik1.57101111642WSep 25 · 23:05R. Wiza2.3065121182J. Orszulik1.531111106113LSep 25 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.758112261J. Badura1.9511724113WSep 25 · 20:45L. Bernacki2.009970J. Orszulik1.721111113LSep 25 · 19:30O. Sokolowski2.351113123J. Orszulik1.54911100LSep 25 · 17:55D. Fira2.751291113113J. Orszulik1.37141171122WSep 16 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.2511511113M. Tkocz1.55411971LSep 16 · 00:45J. Orszulik2.458770P. Polok1.491111113LSep 15 · 23:35J. Orszulik1.908760M. Lebek1.801111113
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