TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Ruzicka vs Jan Lovl 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114113––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Lovl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Jan Lovl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Jan Lovl at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 18–18 Jan Lovl Dead even across their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 8–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lovl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-18 in 36
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1620 vs Lovl 1585
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Lovl 80%
Lovl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 50% vs Lovl 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -1 · Lovl +4
Lovl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lovl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lovl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.91 / Lovl 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lovl)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13197838
Ruzicka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 50 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Lovl1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka8wins
AwayLovl2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka100%4 of 4
AwayLovl33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka4Lovl6n = 10Lovl took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka5Lovl5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruzicka8Lovl2n = 10Ruzicka took 8 of 10
S4Ruzicka6Lovl1n = 7Ruzicka took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaLovlR − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.131.5+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaLovlBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 455 vs 184 / 35552.5%51.8%239 / 455 vs 184 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LovlRuzicka 1.91/Lovl 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lovl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 07:05J. Ruzicka331111113J. Lovl158430
LSep 23 · 08:05J. Ruzicka83500J. Lovl331111113
WSep 19 · 08:05J. Ruzicka3811511113J. Lovl27911251
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka48591211113J. Lovl43111110472
WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka4391111123J. Lovl341194101
LSep 5 · 13:40J. Ruzicka34711791J. Lovl4011711113
WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka47861111113J. Lovl4411116972
WAug 30 · 10:05J. Ruzicka3851111113J. Lovl29113691
WAug 22 · 06:35J. Ruzicka3911611113J. Lovl30611941
WAug 15 · 15:05J. Ruzicka331111113J. Lovl205780
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 26 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.571111113D. Hons2.258560LSep 26 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531111871R. Vavricka2.3891311113WSep 25 · 13:35J. Ruzicka1.611111113M. Holub2.207870LSep 25 · 12:05M. Holub1.80911111113J. Ruzicka1.9111731182WSep 25 · 11:35K. Lahodny3.00411771J. Ruzicka1.3611911113WSep 25 · 10:35J. Ruzicka1.731111113R. Neterda2.007970LSep 23 · 09:03J. Ruzicka1.25961141M. Flesar3.7511114113LSep 23 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.833500J. Lovl1.831111113WSep 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.73981116113R. Neterda2.00111161452WSep 23 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.281314123M. Flesar3.501112100
J. Lovl10
WSep 26 · 06:35D. Hons2.208139101J. Lovl1.61111111123WSep 23 · 09:33J. Lovl1.73611411113R. Neterda2.0011911742WSep 23 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.833500J. Lovl1.831111113WSep 23 · 07:35M. Flesar3.251071291J. Lovl1.33121110113LSep 23 · 06:35J. Lovl1.671121161R. Neterda2.1013116113LSep 20 · 17:45R. Fnukal1.53117811113J. Lovl2.3861111892WSep 20 · 16:05D. Hons2.008940J. Lovl1.731111113WSep 20 · 15:35J. Martin2.7562100J. Lovl1.401111123LSep 20 · 14:35J. Lovl2.501111612132R. Fnukal1.50881114153LSep 19 · 09:03J. Lovl1.25711712132M. Flesar3.751191110153
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