TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Polok vs Roman Piechnik 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115711116118
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:15 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Polok above · Roman Piechnik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Pawel Polok at 57.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Polok 2–0 Roman Piechnik Roman Piechnik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Polok 1483 vs Piechnik 1308
Polok
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 80% vs Piechnik 60%
Polok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 80% vs Piechnik 40%
Polok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok -1 · Piechnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piechnik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.40 / Piechnik 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13194151
Polok1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 105 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it81% 87 of 107
Piechnik2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 19 days ago (Sep 06) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 8 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePolok2wins
AwayPiechnik0wins
Polok leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPolokPiechnikPolok − PiechnikBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.522.5+11.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokPiechnikBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 235 vs 20 / 5064.7%40%152 / 235 vs 20 / 50Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.40/Piechnik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 9 · 12:45P. Polok331111113R. Piechnik236980
WAug 9 · 10:20P. Polok341112113R. Piechnik2281040
P. Polok10
LSep 25 · 08:20P. Polok1.757890M. Lebek1.901111113WSep 25 · 06:45Y. Fomin2.62414791P. Polok1.44111211113WSep 25 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2.9551170P. Polok1.351113113WSep 25 · 05:10P. Polok1.2611911113J. Nowak3.15811471WSep 25 · 04:00P. Polok1.9891111113P. Adamus1.73115891WSep 25 · 02:20P. Polok2.351213113M. Lebek1.50101190WSep 25 · 00:45G. Jurowicz3.1551080P. Polok1.301112113LSep 25 · 00:00P. Adamus1.80912511113P. Polok1.85111011692WSep 24 · 23:10P. Polok1.121111113J. Nowak5.209760WSep 24 · 22:00P. Polok1.9311128113M. Tkocz1.789101191
R. Piechnik10
WSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113LSep 6 · 15:30K. Slawinski1.70911911113R. Piechnik2.0011211392WSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270LSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123WSep 6 · 12:20R. Wojcik1.68121111492R. Piechnik2.02149911113LSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133LSep 6 · 09:30R. Piechnik2.6011811492K. Slawinski1.41511911113LSep 6 · 08:20R. Piechnik1.95714551R. Wojcik1.75111211113LSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik2.5510111161M. Lach1.4612913113WSep 6 · 05:30R. Piechnik—1112133W. Wojtaszczyk—410110
Upcoming Matches
P. Polok
Sep 26 · 05:40P. Polok1.57M. Lach2.25—Sep 26 · 06:55P. Polok1.50R. Szymik2.50—Sep 26 · 08:35P. Polok1.33J. Jesiek3.25—Sep 26 · 09:50P. Polok1.50R. Idaczyk2.50—Sep 26 · 10:35P. Polok2.10A. Cichocki1.67—Sep 26 · 12:15P. Polok1.33J. Jesiek3.25—Sep 26 · 13:05P. Polok—M. Lach——Sep 26 · 13:55P. Polok1.40R. Piechnik2.75—
R. Piechnik
Sep 26 · 04:30R. Piechnik2.00R. Szymik1.73—Sep 26 · 05:15R. Piechnik3.40A. Cichocki1.30—Sep 26 · 07:20R. Piechnik1.83J. Jesiek1.83—Sep 26 · 08:10R. Piechnik2.10M. Lach1.67—Sep 26 · 09:25R. Piechnik1.83J. Jesiek1.83—Sep 26 · 10:10R. Piechnik2.10M. Lach1.67—Sep 26 · 11:25R. Piechnik—A. Cichocki——Sep 26 · 12:40R. Piechnik1.83R. Idaczyk1.83—Sep 26 · 13:55R. Piechnik2.75P. Polok1.40—
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