TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Polok vs Marian Lebek 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:05 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
711811911––––
H2H Pawel Polok 7–2 Marian Lebek Marian Lebek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:05What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Polok
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1502 vs Lebek 1399
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 100% vs Lebek 40%
Polok
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 80% vs Lebek 50%
Polok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok +6 · Lebek +1
Polok
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.75 / Lebek 1.90
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Polok)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13193246
Polok1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 105 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it81% 87 of 107
Lebek1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 90 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePolok7wins
AwayLebek2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPolok leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolok100%6 of 6
AwayLebek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok6Lebek3n = 9Polok took 6 of 9
S2Polok5Lebek4n = 9Polok took 5 of 9
S3Polok5Lebek4n = 9Polok took 5 of 9
S4Polok3Lebek2n = 5Polok took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricPolokLebekP − LBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.235.4+2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 234 vs 859 / 147565%58.2%152 / 234 vs 859 / 1475Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.75/Lebek 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 25 · 02:20P. Polok361213113M. Lebek30101190
WSep 18 · 06:25P. Polok3851111113M. Lebek32118851
LSep 18 · 02:45P. Polok2361070M. Lebek341112113
WSep 16 · 02:20P. Polok4212411153M. Lebek4310119131
WAug 21 · 04:50P. Polok55118147153M. Lebek514111211132
LAug 20 · 21:10P. Polok226970M. Lebek331111113
WAug 16 · 07:45P. Polok46131111113M. Lebek361151371
WAug 7 · 06:45P. Polok341111123M. Lebek2385100
WAug 5 · 01:35P. Polok48111178113M. Lebek3737111152
P. Polok10
WSep 25 · 06:45Y. Fomin2.62414791P. Polok1.44111211113WSep 25 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2.9551170P. Polok1.351113113WSep 25 · 05:10P. Polok1.2611911113J. Nowak3.15811471WSep 25 · 04:00P. Polok1.9891111113P. Adamus1.73115891WSep 25 · 02:20P. Polok2.351213113M. Lebek1.50101190WSep 25 · 00:45G. Jurowicz3.1551080P. Polok1.301112113LSep 25 · 00:00P. Adamus1.80912511113P. Polok1.85111011692WSep 24 · 23:10P. Polok1.121111113J. Nowak5.209760WSep 24 · 22:00P. Polok1.9311128113M. Tkocz1.789101191LSep 23 · 13:55P. Polok1.226380P. Slosarczyk4.001111113
M. Lebek10
WSep 25 · 07:35J. Nowak3.455340M. Lebek1.251111113LSep 25 · 05:35Y. Fomin2.4081111113M. Lebek1.50116861LSep 25 · 04:50P. Adamus1.70611811113M. Lebek1.9511311882WSep 25 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek4.105911111M. Lebek1.1811118133LSep 25 · 02:20P. Polok2.351213113M. Lebek1.50101190LSep 25 · 01:35J. Nowak1.5311116113M. Lebek2.36991171WSep 24 · 23:35G. Jurowicz2.7581030M. Lebek1.371112113WSep 24 · 22:50M. Tkocz2.405680M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 24 · 21:10P. Adamus1.95511461M. Lebek1.7011811113LSep 24 · 08:00M. Lebek1.95111061192R. Skotniczny1.75912118113
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