TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marian Lebek vs Rafal Skotniczny 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191012611118911
Rafal Skotniczny
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1191012611118911
H2H Marian Lebek 4–4 Rafal Skotniczny Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skotniczny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotniczny form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.95 / Skotniczny 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skotniczny)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13188065
Lebek1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 90 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back27% 23 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 42
Skotniczny1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 212 of 333
Up 2–0, closes it96% 111 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it82% 161 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLebek4wins
AwaySkotniczny4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek100%4 of 4
AwaySkotniczny100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek4Skotniczny4n = 8split evenly
S2Lebek5Skotniczny3n = 8Lebek took 5 of 8
S3Lebek3Skotniczny5n = 8Skotniczny took 5 of 8
S4Lebek5Skotniczny1n = 6Lebek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricLebekSkotnicznyL − SBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match37.837.1+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekSkotnicznyBasisWin rate · lifetime854 / 1465 vs 617 / 105058.3%58.8%854 / 1465 vs 617 / 1050Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznyLebek 1.95/Skotniczny 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 19 · 05:10M. Lebek2596100R. Skotniczny341111123
WAug 7 · 04:00M. Lebek4111118113R. Skotniczny29751161
WJul 2 · 06:25M. Lebek3911116113R. Skotniczny29661161
WSep 18 · 08:00M. Lebek4011711113R. Skotniczny36811891
WJul 28 · 13:30M. Lebek381211153R. Skotniczny31108130
LJul 28 · 07:30M. Lebek389811101R. Skotniczny4311119123
LJun 24 · 12:20M. Lebek4071151162R. Skotniczny47117117113
LJun 24 · 08:20M. Lebek41101131162R. Skotniczny48125119113
M. Lebek10
WSep 24 · 06:45M. Lebek1.4011611113A. Burkacki2.77911771LSep 24 · 05:35M. Lebek1.6011813101O. Sokolowski2.1581115123WSep 24 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.258280M. Lebek1.271111113LSep 24 · 03:35M. Lebek1.579121021J. Nowak2.27111012113WSep 24 · 02:00M. Lebek2.33551211113R. Wiza1.54111110852LSep 24 · 24:45M. Lebek1.95111021182K. Hetnar1.75712117113WSep 23 · 23:35M. Lebek1.501211711113O. Sokolowski2.40105111392WSep 23 · 22:25A. Burkacki2.20159781M. Lebek1.57131111113LSep 23 · 21:35M. Lebek2.071311101172J. Nowak1.68158125113WSep 23 · 08:45I. Szymanski4.655380M. Lebek1.141111113
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 24 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.9010101117112R. Skotniczny1.351212715133LSep 24 · 06:25R. Skotniczny1.27812140J. Nowak3.251114163WSep 24 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.4211118113O. Sokolowski2.55241151LSep 24 · 04:00A. Burkacki2.1411411113R. Skotniczny1.64711881LSep 23 · 16:20R. Skotniczny1.60811129112R. Gajda2.101191011133WSep 23 · 15:05R. Skotniczny1.221111113B. Madej3.607750WSep 23 · 13:55R. Skotniczny1.731111113M. Baron1.987850WSep 23 · 12:50M. Rus5.005730R. Skotniczny1.121111113WSep 23 · 11:55R. Skotniczny1.571111113O. Vincenec2.209840WSep 23 · 10:20R. Skotniczny1.191116163M. Rus4.23514140
Upcoming Matches
M. Lebek
R. Skotniczny
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