TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Marcin Stepien vs Dawid Stapor 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119116––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
118119116––––
H2H Marcin Stepien 80–102 Dawid Stapor Marcin Stepien has won 80 of their 182 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stepien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepien 1.65 / Stapor 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stepien)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13193668
Stepien1.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 187 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it94% 127 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it80% 151 of 188
Stapor2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 43 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStepien5wins
AwayStapor5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStepien71.4%5 of 7
AwayStapor100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stepien7Stapor3n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S2Stepien7Stapor3n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S3Stepien6Stapor4n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S4Stepien1Stapor5n = 6Stapor took 5 of 6
S5Stepien1Stapor3n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStepienStaporStepien − StaporBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.1+4.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepienStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime648 / 1172 vs 485 / 91055.3%53.3%648 / 1172 vs 485 / 910Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienStepien 1.65/Stapor 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 10:30M. Stepien48115119122D. Stapor53811911143
LSep 22 · 05:30M. Stepien4491111672D. Stapor43113711113
LSep 19 · 11:35M. Stepien236890D. Stapor331111113
WSep 18 · 07:30M. Stepien4211119113D. Stapor27761131
WSep 6 · 17:35M. Stepien331111113D. Stapor186570
LSep 1 · 05:00M. Stepien489209101D. Stapor52111811123
WAug 27 · 11:00M. Stepien331111113D. Stapor218490
LAug 23 · 16:35M. Stepien4211117852D. Stapor46851111113
WAug 21 · 05:00M. Stepien511110118113D. Stapor4061241172
WAug 18 · 05:00M. Stepien331111113D. Stapor184950
M. Stepien10
LSep 25 · 08:00M. Stepien1.959690M. Lysakowski1.771111113WSep 25 · 06:30M. Stepien1.4611711113P. Gola2.50511571WSep 25 · 05:00M. Stepien1.301111113J. Masternak2.935570LSep 23 · 13:10M. Stepien1.4491171192P. Gola2.60118116113WSep 23 · 12:00P. Gola2.37541171M. Stepien1.5211116113LSep 23 · 10:30M. Stepien1.76115119122D. Stapor1.85811911143LSep 23 · 08:30M. Galus1.521111123M. Stepien2.3579100WSep 23 · 06:00S. Radlo1.71841111102M. Stepien2.00111199123LSep 23 · 05:30B. Molka2.4011811113M. Stepien1.50911981LSep 22 · 12:40M. Stepien—121151182S. Wloszek—149118113
D. Stapor10
WSep 25 · 08:30D. Stapor1.5711711113P. Gola2.25811671WSep 25 · 07:30B. Fraczek2.1081080D. Stapor1.601112113WSep 25 · 06:00D. Stapor2.1711101113113M. Lysakowski1.5491271522LSep 23 · 13:40D. Stapor2.126730M. Galus1.571111113WSep 23 · 11:30M. Galus1.6511611872D. Stapor2.10511711113WSep 23 · 10:30M. Stepien1.76115119122D. Stapor1.85811911143WSep 23 · 09:00B. Molka2.1011911452D. Stapor1.60111711113WSep 23 · 06:30P. Gola2.05111351152D. Stapor1.69715118113LSep 23 · 05:00S. Radlo2.1011911123D. Stapor1.604119101WSep 22 · 13:10S. Radlo1.65881191D. Stapor2.1011117113
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