TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Marcin Stepien vs Michal Lysakowski 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911611911––––
H2H Marcin Stepien 127–107 Michal Lysakowski Michal Lysakowski has won 107 of their 234 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepien 1.95 / Lysakowski 1.77
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lysakowski)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13193232
Stepien1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 35 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Lysakowski1.77
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 191 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it93% 118 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it76% 162 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStepien2wins
AwayLysakowski8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStepienn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLysakowski88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stepien1Lysakowski9n = 10Lysakowski took 9 of 10
S2Stepien5Lysakowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Stepien5Lysakowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Stepien3Lysakowski4n = 7Lysakowski took 4 of 7
S5Stepien0Lysakowski3n = 3Lysakowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStepienLysakowskiS − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.539.9−3.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepienLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 1173 vs 667 / 133155.3%50.1%649 / 1173 vs 667 / 1331Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiStepien 1.95/Lysakowski 1.77
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 10:30M. Stepien3434111152M. Lysakowski47111168113
WSep 20 · 23:45M. Stepien4011711113M. Lysakowski33611881
LSep 20 · 17:35M. Stepien398121091M. Lysakowski44111012113
LSep 18 · 06:00M. Stepien5412111110102M. Lysakowski54147912123
LSep 17 · 10:30M. Stepien31811841M. Lysakowski4011711113
WSep 13 · 21:35M. Stepien4181111113M. Lysakowski28115571
LSep 12 · 11:05M. Stepien218850M. Lysakowski331111113
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stepien521011118122M. Lysakowski50124911143
LSep 4 · 07:00M. Stepien2781180M. Lysakowski351113113
LSep 1 · 13:30M. Stepien2678110M. Lysakowski351111133
M. Stepien10
WSep 25 · 06:30M. Stepien1.4611711113P. Gola2.50511571WSep 25 · 05:00M. Stepien1.301111113J. Masternak2.935570LSep 23 · 13:10M. Stepien1.4491171192P. Gola2.60118116113WSep 23 · 12:00P. Gola2.37541171M. Stepien1.5211116113LSep 23 · 10:30M. Stepien1.76115119122D. Stapor1.85811911143LSep 23 · 08:30M. Galus1.521111123M. Stepien2.3579100WSep 23 · 06:00S. Radlo1.71841111102M. Stepien2.00111199123LSep 23 · 05:30B. Molka2.4011811113M. Stepien1.50911981LSep 22 · 12:40M. Stepien—121151182S. Wloszek—149118113WSep 22 · 12:00S. Wloszek2.50761181M. Stepien1.3711119113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 25 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.551111113J. Masternak2.305880LSep 25 · 06:00D. Stapor2.1711101113113M. Lysakowski1.5491271522WSep 24 · 13:00S. Wloszek2.2539150M. Lysakowski1.581111173LSep 24 · 11:00S. Wloszek2.321111113M. Lysakowski1.558990LSep 24 · 10:00M. Lysakowski2.2281181182J. Masternak1.59117118113LSep 24 · 09:00M. Lysakowski1.627119101P. Gola2.1511911123WSep 24 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.391161113113B. Fraczek2.8091181592WSep 24 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.66141211113M. Galus2.101214471WSep 22 · 13:40M. Lysakowski1.36111110113B. Molka2.90691271WSep 22 · 11:30S. Radlo2.37113381M. Lysakowski1.5251111113
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