TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Lysakowski vs Pawel Gola 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111199111012––
Pawel Gola
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
7111199111012––
H2H Michal Lysakowski 82–92 Pawel Gola Michal Lysakowski has won 82 of their 174 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Lysakowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
82-92 in 174
Gola
Correct
gap of 10 in 174, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1750 vs Gola 1592
Lysakowski
Wrong
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 100% vs Gola 80%
Lysakowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 80% vs Gola 60%
Lysakowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +7 · Gola +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Lysakowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.62 / Gola 2.15
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Lysakowski)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13188020
Lysakowski1.62
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 188 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it93% 117 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it76% 159 of 209
Gola2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 69 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back12% 13 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski6wins
AwayGola4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski85.7%6 of 7
AwayGola100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski7Gola3n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S2Lysakowski5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S3Lysakowski5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S4Lysakowski3Gola4n = 7Gola took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiGolaL − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.038.4+0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime665 / 1325 vs 583 / 119150.2%49%665 / 1325 vs 583 / 1191Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.62/Gola 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 07:00M. Lysakowski3911611113P. Gola34711971
WSep 20 · 21:05M. Lysakowski331111113P. Gola227960
LSep 18 · 08:00M. Lysakowski366111181P. Gola4311138113
WSep 13 · 18:35M. Lysakowski4512119133P. Gola4010811111
WSep 12 · 10:05M. Lysakowski5121511143P. Gola4619114121
LSep 11 · 12:30M. Lysakowski371161281P. Gola4481114113
WSep 11 · 06:30M. Lysakowski381111163P. Gola3079140
LSep 9 · 11:00M. Lysakowski4081111101P. Gola4511913123
LSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski209470P. Gola331111113
WSep 1 · 05:30M. Lysakowski511111810113P. Gola4798111272
M. Lysakowski10
LSep 24 · 11:00S. Wloszek2.321111113M. Lysakowski1.558990LSep 24 · 10:00M. Lysakowski2.2281181182J. Masternak1.59117118113WSep 24 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.391161113113B. Fraczek2.8091181592WSep 24 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.66141211113M. Galus2.101214471WSep 22 · 13:40M. Lysakowski1.36111110113B. Molka2.90691271WSep 22 · 11:30S. Radlo2.37113381M. Lysakowski1.5251111113WSep 22 · 10:30M. Stepien1.8834111152M. Lysakowski1.82111168113WSep 22 · 09:00D. Stapor2.10129961M. Lysakowski1.66101111113WSep 22 · 07:00S. Wloszek2.40812781M. Lysakowski1.50111011113LSep 22 · 05:00B. Molka2.251451111143M. Lysakowski1.541211913122
P. Gola10
LSep 24 · 11:30B. Fraczek2.251213113P. Gola1.57101180WSep 24 · 10:30M. Galus2.34521181P. Gola1.5411118113WSep 24 · 06:00J. Masternak2.3711160P. Gola1.521311113WSep 24 · 05:00S. Wloszek2.251171091P. Gola1.5761112113WSep 23 · 13:10M. Stepien1.4491171192P. Gola2.60118116113LSep 23 · 12:00P. Gola2.37541171M. Stepien1.5211116113WSep 23 · 10:00B. Molka2.209570P. Gola1.601111113WSep 23 · 08:00S. Radlo2.05413681P. Gola1.66111111113LSep 23 · 07:00M. Galus1.441111113P. Gola2.504750LSep 23 · 06:30P. Gola2.05111351152D. Stapor1.69715118113
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