TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Mateusz Galus vs Pawel Gola 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Mateusz Galus
Home
2.34
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511211118811––
Pawel Gola
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeMateusz Galus to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
511211118811––
H2H Mateusz Galus 49–30 Pawel Gola Pawel Gola has won 30 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (60%)
Gola
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-30 in 79
Galus
Wrong
gap of 19 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Galus 1657 vs Gola 1609
Galus
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Galus 40% vs Gola 80%
Gola
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Galus 60% vs Gola 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Galus +1 · Gola +4
Gola
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gola) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGalus 2.34 / Gola 1.54
Signal prob.43% / 58%
Edge (Gola)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13188530
Galus2.34
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 26 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Gola1.54
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 146 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it98% 77 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it86% 108 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGalus8wins
AwayGola2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGalus leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGalus100%5 of 5
AwayGola40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Galus5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S2Galus8Gola2n = 10Galus took 8 of 10
S3Galus8Gola2n = 10Galus took 8 of 10
S4Galus3Gola1n = 4Galus took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGalusGolaGalus − GolaBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.531.5+6.0per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGalusGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 678 vs 584 / 119253.2%49%361 / 678 vs 584 / 1192Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GolaGalus 2.34/Gola 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.5%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 07:00M. Galus331111113P. Gola164750
WSep 18 · 05:00M. Galus331111113P. Gola218670
LSep 11 · 10:30M. Galus4210111291P. Gola46121310113
WAug 31 · 06:30M. Galus361411113P. Gola2512760
WAug 26 · 13:30M. Galus47511711133P. Gola47118116112
WAug 26 · 11:30M. Galus46131111113P. Gola30154831
WAug 19 · 05:00M. Galus341111123P. Gola2688100
LAug 4 · 10:00M. Galus2610790P. Gola341211113
WAug 3 · 05:00M. Galus341211113P. Gola2410590
WAug 2 · 17:05M. Galus4431112183P. Gola4611910161
M. Galus10
WSep 24 · 08:30B. Fraczek2.601241171M. Galus1.4114116113LSep 24 · 06:30S. Wloszek2.4011911113M. Galus1.50711781LSep 24 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.66141211113M. Galus2.101214471WSep 23 · 13:40D. Stapor2.126730M. Galus1.571111113LSep 23 · 11:30M. Galus1.6511611872D. Stapor2.10511711113WSep 23 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101111771M. Galus1.6513611113WSep 23 · 08:30M. Galus1.521111123M. Stepien2.3579100WSep 23 · 07:30B. Molka2.1045111142M. Galus1.65111178113WSep 23 · 07:00M. Galus1.441111113P. Gola2.504750LSep 19 · 14:05M. Galus1.83811491D. Stapor1.8911711113
P. Gola10
LSep 24 · 11:30B. Fraczek2.251213113P. Gola1.57101180WSep 24 · 09:00M. Lysakowski1.627119101P. Gola2.1511911123WSep 24 · 06:00J. Masternak2.3711160P. Gola1.521311113WSep 24 · 05:00S. Wloszek2.251171091P. Gola1.5761112113WSep 23 · 13:10M. Stepien1.4491171192P. Gola2.60118116113LSep 23 · 12:00P. Gola2.37541171M. Stepien1.5211116113WSep 23 · 10:00B. Molka2.209570P. Gola1.601111113WSep 23 · 08:00S. Radlo2.05413681P. Gola1.66111111113LSep 23 · 07:00M. Galus1.441111113P. Gola2.504750LSep 23 · 06:30P. Gola2.05111351152D. Stapor1.69715118113
Upcoming Matches
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