TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Denys Kovtanyuk vs Szymon Toborek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
8111012911––––
H2H Denys Kovtanyuk 1–0 Szymon Toborek Szymon Toborek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kovtanyuk beat Toborek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Toborek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toborek form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovtanyuk 1.85 / Toborek 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Toborek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13192141
Kovtanyuk1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Toborek1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKovtanyuk1wins
AwayToborek0wins
Kovtanyuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKovtanyukToborekK − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.023.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovtanyukToborekBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 184 vs 18 / 5129.4%35.3%54 / 184 vs 18 / 51Avg sets wonper match1.51.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ToborekKovtanyuk 1.85/Toborek 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Toborek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Toborek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk331111113S. Toborek238690
D. Kovtanyuk10
LSep 24 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8691111123D. Kovtanyuk1.831165101WSep 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk1.951111113S. Toborek1.748690WSep 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.45118126113K. Patryk1.42911101192LSep 24 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.509131191L. Buklat1.4711156113WSep 24 · 14:30D. Kovtanyuk1.6011118113P. Kedzierski2.10961191LSep 22 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—81112123D. Kovtanyuk—11410101LSep 22 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk2.50111531K. Patryk1.4611311113LSep 22 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.1011811113D. Kovtanyuk1.65911391WSep 22 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.85911119102D. Kovtanyuk1.85119911123LSep 22 · 16:00M. Szostak1.95111187133D. Kovtanyuk1.74691111112
S. Toborek10
WSep 24 · 21:00S. Toborek1.951111113P. Kedzierski1.757990LSep 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk1.951111113S. Toborek1.748690LSep 24 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.601311133S. Toborek2.20119110LSep 24 · 16:00L. Buklat1.371111113S. Toborek2.871670WSep 24 · 15:30S. Toborek3.0051111123K. Patryk1.341168101WJul 26 · 22:35S. Toborek—711117113J. Komorowicz—11681182LJul 26 · 21:35L. Buklat1.351111113S. Toborek2.758590LJul 26 · 20:35J. Ubik1.711111113S. Toborek2.009580WJul 26 · 19:05J. Komorowicz1.71811771S. Toborek2.0011911113WJul 11 · 23:15W. Arkadiusz1.42111071372S. Toborek2.654121111113
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