TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Piotr Kedzierski vs Denys Kovtanyuk 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811113119––
Denys Kovtanyuk
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 75.2% is still 75.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Kedzierski to win
75.2%
75.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
119811113119––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Kovtanyuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kedzierski 1392 vs Kovtanyuk 1344
Kedzierski
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kedzierski 60% vs Kovtanyuk 20%
Kedzierski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kedzierski 70% vs Kovtanyuk 20%
Kedzierski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kedzierski +2 · Kovtanyuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kovtanyuk) · live re-read · sealed at 25% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovtanyuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 2.10 / Kovtanyuk 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kovtanyuk)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13179703
Kedzierski2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 39
Kovtanyuk1.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiKovtanyukBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 453 vs 51 / 17638.9%29%176 / 453 vs 51 / 176Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
KovtanyukKedzierski 2.10/Kovtanyuk 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56%
Kovtanyuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kedzierski won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Kedzierski10
LSep 22 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8211119113P. Kedzierski1.88991191WSep 22 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.6551111113K. Kos1.33117581WSep 22 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.401111113M. Szostak1.507680LSep 22 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.48351181K. Patryk1.3811119113LSep 15 · 22:40P. Kedzierski2.4961181192K. Kos1.45119117113WSep 15 · 21:00P. Kedzierski1.661161111113F. Baranski2.0513118982WSep 15 · 19:00K. Kos1.361012111172P. Kedzierski2.801210137113LSep 15 · 17:00K. Patryk1.3311116113P. Kedzierski2.95851141WSep 15 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.2591113682P. Kedzierski3.601181111113WSep 15 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.0511611113J. Komorowicz1.70211691
D. Kovtanyuk10
WSep 22 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.85911119102D. Kovtanyuk1.85119911123LSep 22 · 16:00M. Szostak1.95111187133D. Kovtanyuk1.74691111112LSep 22 · 15:30D. Kovtanyuk2.4181240K. Kos1.441114113LSep 21 · 21:30D. Kovtanyuk—4250K. Patryk—1111113LSep 21 · 20:00D. Kovtanyuk2.25511110L. Buklat1.541113133LSep 21 · 18:30D. Kovtanyuk1.901013781M. Michta1.76121111113LSep 21 · 17:00D. Kovtanyuk2.1047131372J. Caban1.6511111111113LSep 21 · 15:00D. Kovtanyuk2.2041160K. Kos1.581113113WSep 21 · 14:00D. Kovtanyuk1.85111147113K. Patryk1.8578111152LJul 24 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—1111113D. Kovtanyuk—6660
Upcoming Matches
P. Kedzierski
Nothing scheduled
D. Kovtanyuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.