TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Piotr Kedzierski vs Kamil Kos 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
2.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511117115118––
Kamil Kos
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
511117115118––
H2H Piotr Kedzierski 4–6 Kamil Kos Piotr Kedzierski has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (67%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Kos
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kedzierski 1376 vs Kos 1478
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kedzierski 60% vs Kos 80%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kedzierski 60% vs Kos 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kedzierski +1 · Kos +4
Kos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kedzierski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 2.65 / Kos 1.33
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kos)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13179189
Kedzierski2.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 39
Kos1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 52 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it66% 46 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKedzierski4wins
AwayKos6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKos leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKedzierskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKos75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kedzierski2Kos8n = 10Kos took 8 of 10
S2Kedzierski5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S3Kedzierski5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S4Kedzierski3Kos5n = 8Kos took 5 of 8
S5Kedzierski3Kos2n = 5Kedzierski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKedzierskiKosKedzierski − KosBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.042.9−3.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiKosBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 452 vs 154 / 30438.7%50.7%175 / 452 vs 154 / 304Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.640.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKedzierski 2.65/Kos 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.8%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 22:40P. Kedzierski4561181192K. Kos49119117113
WSep 15 · 19:00P. Kedzierski531210137113K. Kos511012111172
WSep 9 · 18:30P. Kedzierski51911119113K. Kos4111681152
LSep 8 · 20:00P. Kedzierski36911881K. Kos4211911113
WAug 22 · 08:05P. Kedzierski45511117113K. Kos4711891182
LAug 18 · 14:30P. Kedzierski31571181K. Kos4211119113
WJul 21 · 18:00P. Kedzierski4011611123K. Kos377119101
LJul 7 · 16:30P. Kedzierski50911101282K. Kos531191210113
LJun 23 · 17:00P. Kedzierski2241080K. Kos341112113
LJun 10 · 16:00P. Kedzierski174940K. Kos331111113
P. Kedzierski10
WSep 22 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.1011811113D. Kovtanyuk1.65911391WSep 22 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.401111113M. Szostak1.507680LSep 22 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.48351181K. Patryk1.3811119113LSep 15 · 22:40P. Kedzierski2.4961181192K. Kos1.45119117113WSep 15 · 21:00P. Kedzierski1.661161111113F. Baranski2.0513118982WSep 15 · 19:00K. Kos1.361012111172P. Kedzierski2.801210137113LSep 15 · 17:00K. Patryk1.3311116113P. Kedzierski2.95851141WSep 15 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.2591113682P. Kedzierski3.601181111113WSep 15 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.0511611113J. Komorowicz1.70211691WSep 9 · 18:30K. Kos1.3611681152P. Kedzierski2.75911119113
K. Kos10
WSep 22 · 15:30D. Kovtanyuk2.4181240K. Kos1.441114113WSep 22 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.257820K. Kos1.541111113WSep 21 · 22:00M. Michta1.5831080K. Kos2.201112113WSep 21 · 21:00J. Caban2.10621151K. Kos1.6011114113LSep 21 · 19:30K. Kos2.051431171K. Patryk1.6616118113LSep 21 · 17:30M. Michta1.7412611113K. Kos1.951011841WSep 21 · 15:00D. Kovtanyuk2.2041160K. Kos1.581113113WSep 15 · 22:40P. Kedzierski2.4961181192K. Kos1.45119117113LSep 15 · 19:00K. Kos1.361012111172P. Kedzierski2.801210137113LSep 9 · 18:30K. Kos1.3611681152P. Kedzierski2.75911119113
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