TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Gumulinski vs Zbigniew Sobkow 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111111210117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:42 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Zbigniew Sobkow below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 60.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 3–0 Zbigniew Sobkow Zbigniew Sobkow has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1538 vs Sobkow 1310
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 60% vs Sobkow 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 70% vs Sobkow 40%
Gumulinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski +1 · Sobkow +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobkow form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.61 / Sobkow 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Gumulinski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13188861
Gumulinski1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 365 of 592
Up 2–0, closes it94% 163 of 173
Up 1–0, closes it76% 244 of 320
Sobkow2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 12 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGumulinski3wins
AwaySobkow0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderGumulinski leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski1Sobkow2n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
S2Gumulinski2Sobkow1n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3
S3Gumulinski3Sobkow0n = 3Gumulinski took 3 of 3
S4Gumulinski1Sobkow2n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricGumulinskiSobkowG − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match47.342.3+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime1034 / 1822 vs 54 / 11456.8%47.4%1034 / 1822 vs 54 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.61/Sobkow 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 25 · 06:55P. Gumulinski4281112113Z. Sobkow291111071
WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski49117119113Z. Sobkow4581161192
WSep 6 · 07:45P. Gumulinski515111113113Z. Sobkow5311991592
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 25 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.441111713113S. Juzek2.6388111582LSep 25 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.73113721R. Idaczyk2.0091111113LSep 25 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.61614100M. Paszkiewicz2.201116123WSep 24 · 16:40S. Juzek2.53911111482P. Gumulinski1.461171312113WSep 24 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk3.4535111162P. Gumulinski1.25111159113WSep 24 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.7012891152P. Gumulinski1.401011114113WSep 24 · 13:10P. Kurek3.00115861P. Gumulinski1.3251111113LSep 24 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.851111113P. Gumulinski1.806550WSep 24 · 10:40S. Juzek2.753550P. Gumulinski1.401111113WSep 24 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk3.65611761P. Gumulinski1.2211911113
Z. Sobkow10
WSep 25 · 06:05Z. Sobkow2.10119116113K. Jablonski1.6791191172LSep 25 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.7391170M. Paszkiewicz2.001113113WSep 25 · 03:50S. Juzek1.8331060Z. Sobkow1.831112113LSep 13 · 13:55A. Cichocki1.4011611113Z. Sobkow2.75711881WSep 13 · 13:05S. Szostok1.44117118192Z. Sobkow2.63611311213LSep 13 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.63116791W. Wojtaszczyk1.4481111113LSep 13 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.1011115332J. Wieczerzak1.67991111113LSep 13 · 09:50M. Lach1.441111123Z. Sobkow2.6347100LSep 13 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.25128981W. Wojtaszczyk1.57101111113WSep 13 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.3891111113S. Szostok1.53116751
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