TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Kirill Fadeev vs Nikolaosz Kizakisz 3-0 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 24Finished
Kirill Fadeev
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119119––––
Nikolaosz Kizakisz
Away
3.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:13 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeKirill Fadeev to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
115119119––––
H2H Kirill Fadeev 1–0 Nikolaosz Kizakisz Nikolaosz Kizakisz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (76%)
Fadeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fadeev 1741 vs Kizakisz 1347
Fadeev
Correct
both rated, 394 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fadeev 80% vs Kizakisz 60%
Fadeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fadeev 90% vs Kizakisz 50%
Fadeev
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fadeev +2 · Kizakisz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Fadeev) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kizakisz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (26%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFadeev 1.20 / Kizakisz 3.80
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Fadeev)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13187956
Fadeev1.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 53 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Kizakisz3.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 6 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFadeev1wins
AwayKizakisz0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFadeev leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFadeevKizakiszF − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match54.045.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFadeevKizakiszBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 153 vs 15 / 5967.3%25.4%103 / 153 vs 15 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.41.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.429.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevFadeev 1.20/Kizakisz 3.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 27 · 09:00K. Fadeev541111911123N. Kizakisz45741113102
K. Fadeev10
WSep 24 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.201111113L. Kraus4.335250WSep 24 · 08:00M. Stefanidis2.0911341162K. Fadeev1.67911116113WSep 8 · 10:39K. Fadeev3.401111126113R. Turrini1.30134101192LSep 8 · 09:15K. Fadeev1.25117117122V. Senkbeil3.75911611143WSep 8 · 06:30R. Turrini1.201211471K. Fadeev4.3314811113WSep 7 · 16:30M. Henninger2.0061250K. Fadeev1.731114113WSep 7 · 15:00M. Stefanidis—761171K. Fadeev—11117113WSep 7 · 13:30K. Fadeev—15211113S. Almeida—1311481WSep 7 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.361111113V. Senkbeil3.008490WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161
N. Kizakisz10
LSep 24 · 11:00D. Lindso—1111113N. Kizakisz—5590LSep 24 · 06:30M. Scharrer—1111113N. Kizakisz—5580LAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140WAug 21 · 09:30S. Almeida1.87115991N. Kizakisz1.8381111113WAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113WAug 20 · 13:00A. Moreno—541161N. Kizakisz—11115113WAug 20 · 11:00S. Almeida1.40111181002N. Kizakisz2.65791112113LAug 20 · 10:00M. Danzer—11511113N. Kizakisz—411371LAug 20 · 06:30E. Huzsvar1.0711117113N. Kizakisz6.25581151
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