TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Derevianko vs Maksym Mrykh 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117114––––
Maksym Mrykh
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Andrii Derevianko at 59.7%
47 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 92–42 Maksym Mrykh Maksym Mrykh has won 42 of their 134 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Derevianko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
92-42 in 134
Derevianko
Correct
gap of 50 in 134, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1715 vs Mrykh 1684
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 40% vs Mrykh 80%
Mrykh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 60% vs Mrykh 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko -1 · Mrykh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Derevianko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 1.61 / Mrykh 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Derevianko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13185861
Derevianko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 71 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Mrykh2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko4wins
AwayMrykh6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDereviankon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMrykh75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko2Mrykh8n = 10Mrykh took 8 of 10
S2Derevianko4Mrykh6n = 10Mrykh took 6 of 10
S3Derevianko8Mrykh2n = 10Derevianko took 8 of 10
S4Derevianko6Mrykh3n = 9Derevianko took 6 of 9
S5Derevianko0Mrykh3n = 3Mrykh took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoMrykhD − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.940.3−0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 962 vs 216 / 46247.4%46.8%456 / 962 vs 216 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoDerevianko 1.61/Mrykh 2.20
Hit
What we said
58.9%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 11:50A. Derevianko401661171M. Mrykh4918119113
WSep 14 · 17:00A. Derevianko4071111113M. Mrykh36117991
LSep 10 · 16:00A. Derevianko356101181M. Mrykh4111127113
WSep 8 · 10:20A. Derevianko3711312113M. Mrykh338111041
LSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko45711116102M. Mrykh47118511123
WSep 1 · 10:50A. Derevianko4271113113M. Mrykh341131191
LAug 21 · 09:50A. Derevianko48810111182M. Mrykh46111239113
WAug 18 · 11:50A. Derevianko4211812113M. Mrykh336111061
LAug 15 · 10:20A. Derevianko217770M. Mrykh331111113
LAug 6 · 16:00A. Derevianko49101181192M. Mrykh51129118113
A. Derevianko10
LSep 24 · 16:30A. Derevianko1.916980O. Strutinskiy1.801111113WSep 24 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.36511611113O. Zhyrnov3.0011511652LSep 24 · 13:30A. Derevianko2.20119971V. Savoliuk1.6181111113WSep 24 · 12:00A. Derevianko2.38111411113O. Seliuchenko1.5381111762LSep 22 · 11:50M. Mrykh2.1018119113A. Derevianko1.671661171WSep 22 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.611111113E. Hrytsenko2.204680WSep 22 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.2516116113V. Savoliuk1.571431121LSep 22 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.00112661O. Strutinskiy1.7391111113WSep 22 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.20751212113I. Nitchenko1.611111101042WSep 18 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.61118111143E. Hrytsenko2.2081113522
M. Mrykh10
LSep 24 · 17:00M. Mrykh1.444711111O. Zhyrnov2.6311117133WSep 24 · 16:00M. Mrykh2.10813813113O. Seliuchenko1.671111111182WSep 24 · 14:30M. Mrykh1.911111113O. Strutinskiy1.805780WSep 24 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00511119113V. Savoliuk1.7311661192WSep 22 · 11:50M. Mrykh2.1018119113A. Derevianko1.671661171LSep 22 · 10:20M. Mrykh1.83116571O. Strutinskiy1.8381111113WSep 22 · 08:50M. Mrykh1.6711911113E. Hrytsenko2.10811971LSep 22 · 07:20M. Mrykh1.737912101I. Nitchenko2.00111110123LSep 22 · 05:50M. Mrykh1.91811101172V. Savoliuk1.80119127113LSep 21 · 18:30M. Mrykh1.534101181E. Hrytsenko2.3811129113
Upcoming Matches
A. Derevianko
M. Mrykh
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.